Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-12-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 34 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 50 98 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 221 264 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 210 2724 12003 30173
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 37 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 64 43 13 0 0
CDI 0 42 3 35 218 224 3 0
VCDI 0 15 6 29 420 3990 11120 29594
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 51 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 312 291 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 468 3905 9484 31304
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 14 58 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 119 183 0 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 386 3463 9364 32270
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 11 47 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 110 176 4 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 398 3467 9360 32270

Date: 2021-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 7 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 73 134 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 326 2910 8671 33661
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 10 85 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 72 119 7 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 324 2914 8670 33659

Date: 2021-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 53 49 0 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 130 2327 7180 36119
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 21 23 1 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 163 2353 7179 36110

Date: 2021-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 97 14 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 226 2257 8606 34640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1 57 23 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 237 2299 8597 34619

Date: 2021-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 13 192 16 37
VCDI 0 0 0 0 104 2975 11308 31204
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 21 83 80 33
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 3099 11244 31208


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