Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-12-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82004 10969 104 451 391 128 14 0
OW 35 336 27 172 212 28 12 0
VODI 0 190 31 209 267 52 31 0
ODI 0 58 18 192 156 92 38 0
CDI 0 17 9 137 225 203 51 0
VCDI 0 0 3 88 613 3287 5764 2486
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81229 11008 117 527 518 288 0 0
OW 35 336 17 165 213 94 0 0
VODI 0 209 38 161 262 161 0 0
ODI 0 81 18 164 157 169 0 0
CDI 0 20 11 157 246 261 2 0
VCDI 0 0 1 61 519 2350 6381 3124
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80522 11666 106 456 305 131 0 0
OW 38 212 69 354 145 50 0 0
VODI 0 54 22 367 355 79 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 168 457 112 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 72 481 466 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 330 2403 5163 4452
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79766 11958 126 457 294 111 0 0
OW 50 318 59 297 149 49 0 0
VODI 0 133 27 391 346 69 0 0
ODI 0 33 12 182 467 99 0 0
CDI 0 3 5 142 526 248 40 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 427 1796 5136 5368
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79766 12009 129 498 284 107 0 0
OW 50 272 55 271 153 45 0 0
VODI 0 127 27 375 355 75 0 0
ODI 0 37 13 180 466 93 4 0
CDI 0 0 5 140 508 271 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 443 1781 5124 5368

Date: 2020-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79811 11385 148 560 356 42 0 0
OW 51 467 51 308 196 32 1 0
VODI 0 143 27 407 297 65 11 0
ODI 0 44 9 154 541 79 11 0
CDI 0 7 9 110 633 281 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 453 1940 4729 5682
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79811 11575 159 587 349 39 0 0
OW 51 299 48 328 184 30 0 0
VODI 0 120 18 388 342 53 16 0
ODI 0 46 11 125 533 84 13 0
CDI 0 6 8 101 630 309 50 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 438 1924 4707 5682

Date: 2020-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79124 11509 121 605 308 40 0 0
OW 59 391 42 288 164 70 8 0
VODI 0 129 44 380 318 114 4 0
ODI 0 21 12 203 583 292 7 0
CDI 0 2 1 46 568 696 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 104 1576 5891 5335
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79128 11433 121 707 444 101 2 0
OW 55 425 34 189 170 124 13 0
VODI 0 164 43 300 254 201 26 0
ODI 0 24 19 197 306 169 38 0
CDI 0 6 3 118 538 409 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 333 1784 5805 5335

Date: 2020-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78668 11698 118 562 305 27 0 0
OW 62 442 28 211 240 47 4 0
VODI 0 239 43 299 239 89 7 0
ODI 0 67 25 234 351 166 5 0
CDI 0 4 8 152 471 399 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 561 2153 5795 5352
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78669 11373 107 529 342 50 3 0
OW 61 599 29 210 268 78 9 0
VODI 0 322 35 268 289 153 11 0
ODI 0 116 26 216 188 198 6 0
CDI 0 34 18 154 391 257 16 0
VCDI 0 6 7 103 689 2145 5773 5352

Date: 2020-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78339 11408 104 478 348 29 0 0
OW 63 475 37 154 359 64 1 0
VODI 0 290 24 242 275 87 22 0
ODI 0 76 24 209 289 155 24 0
CDI 0 17 14 141 384 331 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 544 2075 6232 5679
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78341 11198 97 418 264 23 0 0
OW 61 522 36 216 245 45 7 0
VODI 0 346 27 231 486 162 16 0
ODI 0 115 17 154 327 268 28 0
CDI 0 60 12 129 300 312 38 0
VCDI 0 25 14 141 577 1931 6232 5679


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