Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-12-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1507 2256 26 72 3 0 0 0
OW 0 453 34 339 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 6 289 229 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 6 101 366 34 0 0
CDI 0 12 1 33 213 362 66 55
VCDI 0 4 0 4 133 1504 7809 15934
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1301 1885 18 107 12 0 0 0
OW 0 381 22 169 93 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 21 159 508 22 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 96 316 128 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 266 399 26 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 2005 5879 17985
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1196 2053 24 35 1 0 0 0
OW 12 187 16 121 130 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 13 174 232 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 69 593 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 467 367 0 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 1587 2976 21708
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 997 2247 8 31 6 0 0 0
OW 10 242 17 84 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 22 110 139 6 0 0
ODI 0 7 10 115 240 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 323 356 14 10
VCDI 0 0 0 1 45 1617 4482 20719
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1006 2315 16 41 8 0 0 0
OW 1 201 10 70 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 19 129 103 3 0 0
ODI 0 9 12 82 250 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 326 284 15 13
VCDI 0 0 0 10 77 1705 4481 20716

Date: 2020-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 993 2230 7 37 14 0 0 0
OW 11 326 4 20 16 1 0 0
VODI 0 295 23 31 32 7 0 0
ODI 0 99 32 130 40 19 0 0
CDI 0 8 11 182 154 120 6 16
VCDI 0 0 0 94 664 2223 3083 21154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1002 2273 7 41 17 0 0 0
OW 2 248 4 15 16 1 0 0
VODI 0 297 23 32 29 5 0 0
ODI 0 114 24 106 40 14 0 0
CDI 0 26 16 169 140 106 5 14
VCDI 0 0 3 131 678 2244 3084 21156

Date: 2020-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59 2801 45 149 40 2 0 0
OW 0 105 34 153 49 5 0 0
VODI 0 16 11 261 88 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 79 258 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 271 240 18 1
VCDI 0 0 0 54 343 2538 6023 18394
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59 2514 37 147 46 6 0 0
OW 0 233 15 85 49 5 0 0
VODI 0 139 21 112 46 14 0 0
ODI 0 35 16 182 59 17 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 130 243 109 15 4
VCDI 0 0 0 63 606 2656 6026 18391

Date: 2020-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 2334 41 103 31 1 0 0
OW 0 147 38 136 34 4 0 0
VODI 0 18 15 278 114 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 180 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 288 69 16 4
VCDI 0 0 0 82 304 2383 7770 17547
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 2325 65 324 92 10 0 0
OW 0 114 10 79 79 11 0 0
VODI 0 57 16 100 95 24 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 70 135 29 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 138 93 59 6
VCDI 0 0 0 81 412 2307 7712 17545

Date: 2020-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 1852 43 130 19 0 0 0
OW 0 163 12 146 57 4 0 0
VODI 0 37 21 117 156 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 252 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 233 86 31 2
VCDI 0 0 0 55 398 2687 7917 17507
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 1962 61 344 230 9 0 0
OW 0 67 7 55 204 18 0 0
VODI 0 21 6 62 146 60 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 28 102 142 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 108 241 26 13
VCDI 0 0 0 55 325 2326 7922 17496


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