Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-12-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1379 3049 23 55 0 0 0 0
OW 2 292 31 260 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 9 167 214 5 0 0
ODI 0 61 6 97 288 64 0 0
CDI 0 28 3 73 304 249 10 14
VCDI 0 10 4 57 295 2145 6047 16713
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1685 2816 11 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 545 35 100 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 24 294 97 5 0 0
ODI 0 86 5 131 279 65 0 0
CDI 0 42 4 81 450 285 16 66
VCDI 0 27 3 80 381 2359 8642 13292
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1649 3203 33 86 1 0 0 0
OW 0 326 26 183 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 143 10 184 190 2 0 0
ODI 0 73 1 56 352 191 22 1
CDI 0 51 2 36 278 425 100 19
VCDI 0 19 1 23 283 3539 8503 12034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1518 2512 29 73 1 0 0 0
OW 0 508 25 241 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 151 19 247 240 3 0 0
ODI 0 54 4 117 300 69 5 12
CDI 0 11 1 56 285 448 43 114
VCDI 0 2 0 8 135 1482 7560 15781
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1518 2586 33 108 8 0 0 0
OW 0 388 23 224 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 176 16 225 214 6 0 0
ODI 0 72 5 126 299 64 6 0
CDI 0 12 1 58 263 422 43 137
VCDI 0 4 0 1 153 1510 7559 15770

Date: 2020-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1518 2036 22 69 2 0 0 0
OW 0 440 26 264 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 159 6 281 281 3 0 0
ODI 0 71 11 70 321 45 0 0
CDI 0 15 0 53 302 247 29 28
VCDI 0 4 1 3 218 1752 7668 16100
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1518 2141 29 90 4 0 0 0
OW 0 332 18 212 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 9 313 273 4 0 0
ODI 0 65 7 70 295 31 0 0
CDI 0 13 2 52 325 217 32 16
VCDI 0 10 1 3 221 1795 7665 16112

Date: 2020-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1256 2068 19 41 8 0 0 0
OW 3 143 22 176 123 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 10 196 290 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 63 760 70 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 278 574 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1598 5586 18741
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1240 1660 18 62 57 0 0 0
OW 19 322 5 107 131 2 0 0
VODI 0 257 26 187 391 32 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 101 410 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 359 278 24 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 113 1872 5581 18740

Date: 2020-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1199 2084 8 25 7 0 0 0
OW 12 216 19 87 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 20 127 157 23 0 0
ODI 0 10 7 112 220 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 253 494 20 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 1322 4879 20348
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1143 1754 10 35 11 0 0 0
OW 68 330 11 60 95 0 0 0
VODI 0 257 16 93 176 47 0 0
ODI 0 69 15 114 183 198 4 0
CDI 0 2 2 86 158 394 41 35
VCDI 0 0 0 5 139 1339 4854 20338

Date: 2020-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1011 2347 7 19 0 0 0 0
OW 4 305 8 25 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 224 17 112 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 28 171 99 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 157 253 111 7 4
VCDI 0 0 0 26 506 1819 3164 21545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 952 1625 8 17 0 0 0 0
OW 37 368 2 20 10 0 0 0
VODI 26 624 20 67 25 3 0 0
ODI 0 220 19 189 94 16 0 0
CDI 0 56 7 137 333 179 9 48
VCDI 0 29 7 80 436 1756 3162 21501


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