Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-11-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4097 5282 63 338 82 0 0 0
OW 102 504 28 281 297 18 0 0
VODI 4 247 34 241 358 148 0 0
ODI 0 54 5 124 322 258 0 0
CDI 0 10 5 89 348 790 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 158 2253 7466 21854
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2050 5739 64 489 603 6 0 0
OW 43 415 35 437 334 96 0 0
VODI 1 146 39 281 346 289 10 0
ODI 0 58 12 162 330 244 15 0
CDI 0 4 1 75 366 522 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 277 3213 6285 22789
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1118 5720 57 371 158 36 0 0
OW 1 320 66 387 227 78 0 0
VODI 0 53 15 500 596 302 0 0
ODI 0 21 5 117 718 568 4 0
CDI 0 6 3 11 465 940 118 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 250 2320 7025 23286
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2045 4457 53 176 125 68 11 0
OW 87 513 22 321 205 158 44 0
VODI 9 252 22 172 392 220 81 0
ODI 0 94 15 149 649 410 151 0
CDI 0 70 10 113 301 648 334 47
VCDI 0 0 0 69 560 3082 7043 22688
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2069 4479 49 213 133 123 39 0
OW 57 468 24 284 181 81 29 0
VODI 15 296 26 175 411 232 63 0
ODI 0 82 13 142 561 409 155 0
CDI 0 59 10 119 345 631 361 55
VCDI 0 2 0 67 601 3110 7017 22680

Date: 2020-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1247 4385 78 314 194 1 0 0
OW 96 536 24 230 441 166 18 0
VODI 24 181 29 215 377 291 46 0
ODI 0 27 19 167 505 429 82 0
CDI 0 22 9 99 382 895 155 0
VCDI 0 3 1 75 460 2003 7857 23783
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1310 4522 83 331 219 67 4 0
OW 53 379 16 213 386 83 17 0
VODI 4 199 33 240 427 324 49 0
ODI 0 23 17 153 361 357 74 0
CDI 0 26 8 83 484 900 149 0
VCDI 0 5 3 80 482 2054 7865 23783

Date: 2020-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 233 4786 66 205 31 0 0 0
OW 0 312 60 457 128 10 0 0
VODI 0 58 18 322 574 142 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 43 851 551 0 0
CDI 0 6 2 16 427 1349 310 0
VCDI 0 7 3 4 236 2325 7768 24565
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 232 4687 88 470 202 52 1 0
OW 1 356 31 224 340 234 26 0
VODI 0 110 25 225 440 514 44 0
ODI 0 4 0 69 331 390 104 0
CDI 0 2 0 34 378 729 271 0
VCDI 0 11 5 25 556 2458 7632 24565

Date: 2020-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 147 4166 86 215 75 0 0 0
OW 0 387 68 432 257 6 0 0
VODI 0 78 16 185 596 146 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 26 544 702 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 747 1133 44 18
VCDI 0 0 0 44 421 3587 8468 23256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 147 4085 111 393 335 32 0 0
OW 0 417 36 226 394 217 3 0
VODI 0 129 20 189 327 664 36 0
ODI 0 9 5 47 384 599 32 0
CDI 0 2 0 6 493 770 77 13
VCDI 0 0 0 44 707 3292 8364 23261

Date: 2020-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 205 3897 53 228 46 0 0 0
OW 0 454 56 418 214 8 0 0
VODI 0 89 17 287 550 79 0 0
ODI 0 20 6 54 403 521 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 523 833 11 11
VCDI 0 0 0 91 716 5531 10997 19527
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 182 3736 78 413 232 31 0 0
OW 23 501 23 267 368 141 0 0
VODI 0 184 21 205 347 590 7 0
ODI 0 36 9 71 314 512 47 0
CDI 0 3 1 39 471 889 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 104 720 4809 10845 19538


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