Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-11-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88532 8542 61 307 187 55 0 0
OW 18 323 16 116 82 30 0 0
VODI 0 218 13 107 173 19 0 0
ODI 0 64 10 118 146 29 0 0
CDI 0 11 14 120 201 240 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 397 4194 3138 1560
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88564 8128 54 273 171 55 0 0
OW 20 518 13 155 32 25 1 0
VODI 0 279 13 122 122 18 0 0
ODI 0 93 11 133 148 7 0 0
CDI 0 43 13 105 218 99 0 0
VCDI 0 14 5 79 569 4341 3815 844
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87263 9103 70 253 191 113 0 0
OW 20 212 30 205 41 17 0 0
VODI 0 96 18 317 122 26 0 0
ODI 0 40 10 92 271 62 0 0
CDI 0 20 9 46 305 296 2 0
VCDI 0 0 2 66 296 5380 3300 806
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86981 8970 70 322 255 117 0 0
OW 25 318 12 177 63 23 0 0
VODI 0 201 15 188 129 34 0 0
ODI 0 65 6 71 204 46 0 0
CDI 0 22 11 71 264 236 3 0
VCDI 0 6 5 56 360 3719 4064 1991
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86984 8892 68 350 261 108 0 0
OW 22 329 13 165 70 30 0 0
VODI 0 238 14 157 127 39 0 0
ODI 0 87 3 77 192 58 0 0
CDI 0 31 16 77 242 216 3 0
VCDI 0 5 5 59 383 3724 4064 1991

Date: 2020-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85629 9784 72 368 238 149 0 0
OW 25 321 36 290 75 23 0 0
VODI 0 108 21 235 286 27 0 0
ODI 0 19 3 108 241 30 0 0
CDI 0 8 7 35 364 167 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 213 3209 4682 2301
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85629 9754 72 381 228 143 0 0
OW 25 315 31 201 78 29 0 0
VODI 0 145 24 298 213 24 0 0
ODI 0 19 5 106 294 39 0 0
CDI 0 7 7 61 378 161 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 226 3209 4682 2301

Date: 2020-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85077 9977 82 439 219 125 5 0
OW 27 194 31 288 132 32 1 0
VODI 0 57 26 238 372 43 2 0
ODI 0 26 3 77 319 126 0 0
CDI 0 11 9 44 273 413 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 141 1806 4994 3461
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85075 9754 80 422 298 175 7 0
OW 29 347 31 257 143 24 1 0
VODI 0 105 21 256 276 28 0 0
ODI 0 38 7 75 259 145 0 0
CDI 0 21 9 59 249 225 1 0
VCDI 0 0 3 46 231 1948 4994 3461

Date: 2020-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83984 10848 69 306 172 122 0 0
OW 34 405 44 223 124 24 0 0
VODI 2 93 27 343 270 53 0 0
ODI 0 16 10 164 236 103 0 0
CDI 0 12 1 44 342 402 11 0
VCDI 0 0 2 32 209 2008 6219 2146
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83988 10411 61 304 209 150 0 0
OW 30 621 37 213 139 44 0 0
VODI 2 256 31 314 202 35 0 0
ODI 0 60 11 128 248 135 0 0
CDI 0 24 9 78 240 228 5 0
VCDI 0 2 4 75 315 2120 6225 2146

Date: 2020-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83468 10834 82 340 189 84 52 0
OW 33 442 24 198 160 35 18 0
VODI 4 178 35 221 239 121 24 0
ODI 0 35 8 138 368 148 32 0
CDI 0 18 5 82 306 254 27 0
VCDI 0 2 5 50 317 3493 4492 2539
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83466 10353 68 293 203 128 92 0
OW 37 594 24 141 75 23 12 0
VODI 2 409 29 238 340 110 30 0
ODI 0 82 18 138 270 157 10 0
CDI 0 47 13 97 240 163 23 0
VCDI 0 24 7 122 451 3554 4478 2539


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Sat 12 Jun 2021 12:37:41 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy