Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-11-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1601 3103 38 109 164 8 0 0
OW 0 316 22 204 212 126 0 0
VODI 0 149 13 149 445 598 8 0
ODI 0 27 17 93 334 736 128 0
CDI 0 0 0 94 149 1431 582 129
VCDI 0 0 0 17 255 6210 9382 5233
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2146 2677 0 15 57 87 0 0
OW 1 483 14 49 48 197 0 0
VODI 0 275 32 133 129 263 190 0
ODI 0 50 25 186 180 525 245 0
CDI 0 0 0 95 450 878 504 88
VCDI 0 0 0 9 346 5050 11151 5504
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2483 3183 18 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 253 24 75 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 14 225 123 69 0 0
ODI 0 43 6 128 385 292 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 434 1262 338 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 291 4322 10042 7863
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2288 2823 31 64 0 0 0 0
OW 0 501 7 128 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 211 17 92 116 0 0 0
ODI 0 86 7 87 181 240 44 0
CDI 0 50 7 117 217 845 362 38
VCDI 0 5 2 75 402 5136 10157 7731
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2288 2923 32 118 1 0 0 0
OW 0 346 10 95 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 268 12 71 113 4 0 0
ODI 0 92 10 89 171 165 28 0
CDI 0 46 5 121 258 846 249 33
VCDI 0 1 2 69 365 5206 10286 7736

Date: 2020-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1664 2804 29 78 6 0 0 0
OW 0 549 18 198 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 223 19 219 145 11 0 0
ODI 0 69 4 79 195 125 6 0
CDI 0 41 5 76 249 677 154 9
VCDI 0 1 2 55 300 5459 10953 7622
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1664 2891 43 233 14 0 0 0
OW 0 407 9 143 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 292 14 109 152 7 0 0
ODI 0 68 6 94 187 107 13 0
CDI 0 28 5 84 281 664 119 6
VCDI 0 1 0 42 245 5494 10981 7625

Date: 2020-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1213 3263 33 141 27 0 0 0
OW 0 163 25 213 91 1 0 0
VODI 0 26 9 203 281 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 387 220 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 127 626 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 2493 10272 12055
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1213 2712 32 237 170 3 0 0
OW 0 492 9 74 153 27 0 0
VODI 0 240 19 196 179 85 0 0
ODI 0 8 7 74 183 172 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 179 508 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 106 2563 10253 12055

Date: 2020-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1323 3137 28 112 5 0 0 0
OW 0 265 27 153 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 4 190 193 8 0 0
ODI 0 18 6 103 271 89 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 218 333 92 39
VCDI 0 0 0 16 158 2056 7729 15317
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1323 2695 31 233 196 2 0 0
OW 0 394 7 41 136 36 0 0
VODI 0 299 19 156 118 100 0 0
ODI 0 72 3 88 120 112 11 10
CDI 0 32 5 83 147 278 95 55
VCDI 0 0 0 34 183 1958 7719 15291

Date: 2020-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1379 3049 23 55 0 0 0 0
OW 2 292 31 260 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 9 167 214 5 0 0
ODI 0 61 6 97 288 64 0 0
CDI 0 28 3 73 304 249 10 14
VCDI 0 10 4 57 295 2145 6047 16713
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1371 2751 31 187 120 1 0 0
OW 10 310 14 98 139 30 0 0
VODI 0 246 11 168 206 69 0 0
ODI 0 103 7 63 152 115 1 5
CDI 0 88 8 78 185 239 37 57
VCDI 0 43 5 115 326 2009 6019 16665


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