Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-11-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96419 16968 162 576 357 63 0 0
OW 54 1280 65 554 367 162 0 0
VODI 12 717 45 430 917 637 8 0
ODI 0 150 37 313 733 968 129 0
CDI 0 12 14 248 628 2044 613 129
VCDI 0 0 0 63 1153 12337 20252 27432
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96421 15531 121 662 303 142 0 0
OW 71 1568 63 533 356 222 1 0
VODI 2 976 63 431 542 376 193 0
ODI 0 310 44 443 560 704 255 0
CDI 0 46 14 260 889 1305 614 88
VCDI 0 14 5 98 1458 12148 27904 21312
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94892 17624 175 587 232 113 0 0
OW 83 779 101 625 205 17 0 0
VODI 1 351 44 848 699 95 0 0
ODI 0 146 17 401 1236 418 12 0
CDI 0 21 9 138 1210 1889 340 1
VCDI 0 0 2 71 900 12133 22079 28554
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93863 16952 163 717 299 117 0 0
OW 98 1308 55 624 329 23 0 0
VODI 3 631 56 618 641 62 0 0
ODI 0 202 21 230 918 405 44 0
CDI 0 101 24 298 1095 1480 367 38
VCDI 0 11 7 131 1018 11831 21440 30828
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93846 16969 166 816 325 108 0 0
OW 112 1100 51 520 278 30 0 0
VODI 6 762 54 549 608 66 0 0
ODI 0 249 20 287 897 352 28 0
CDI 0 119 28 305 1134 1429 259 33
VCDI 0 6 7 141 1058 11933 21564 30833

Date: 2020-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89974 18545 191 1009 374 149 0 0
OW 71 1338 89 878 409 53 0 0
VODI 1 565 65 712 814 234 0 0
ODI 0 179 13 321 782 377 6 0
CDI 0 70 18 165 967 1480 156 9
VCDI 0 1 2 107 694 11308 22027 32895
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89983 18670 208 1265 417 145 0 0
OW 63 1109 66 606 336 52 0 0
VODI 0 649 68 693 734 199 0 0
ODI 0 185 17 315 838 375 13 0
CDI 0 84 19 232 1036 1461 122 6
VCDI 0 1 0 81 679 11369 22054 32898

Date: 2020-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88008 18874 172 849 330 130 5 0
OW 49 690 137 1019 446 65 1 0
VODI 1 130 51 1023 1489 163 2 0
ODI 0 48 8 231 1594 738 5 0
CDI 0 12 12 52 780 2018 215 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 307 6424 22150 38791
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88012 17997 201 1249 1254 336 7 0
OW 45 1134 62 673 589 155 1 0
VODI 1 444 68 702 801 353 21 0
ODI 0 103 24 300 788 610 61 0
CDI 0 73 18 181 706 1124 254 2
VCDI 0 3 7 98 808 6960 22034 38789

Date: 2020-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87044 18892 145 656 390 185 0 0
OW 82 1128 104 613 486 104 0 0
VODI 4 300 67 801 1015 291 0 0
ODI 0 55 27 495 1264 638 5 0
CDI 0 33 4 208 1021 1657 215 89
VCDI 0 1 3 49 855 6608 20746 40768
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86978 17973 149 887 1036 713 0 0
OW 142 1344 64 407 649 453 0 0
VODI 10 754 63 598 758 417 10 0
ODI 0 190 30 361 693 520 81 10
CDI 0 102 26 239 655 785 267 81
VCDI 0 46 18 330 1240 6595 20608 40766

Date: 2020-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86068 18775 180 660 344 98 53 0
OW 182 1210 80 784 483 145 56 0
VODI 18 543 76 582 877 338 63 0
ODI 0 193 32 380 1295 596 81 0
CDI 0 104 19 295 985 1245 248 40
VCDI 0 14 11 191 1082 8396 18279 41947
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86074 17944 182 1011 902 630 161 0
OW 177 1206 51 366 519 487 90 0
VODI 17 875 50 494 1011 371 137 0
ODI 0 289 37 271 724 520 159 5
CDI 0 218 29 242 614 694 337 63
VCDI 0 307 49 508 1296 8116 17896 41919


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Sat 12 Jun 2021 12:38:09 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy