Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-11-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2933 4685 81 666 843 58 0 0
OW 0 814 69 626 984 685 0 0
VODI 0 260 37 263 880 1132 63 0
ODI 0 6 3 107 408 1082 225 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 369 1758 641 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 2120 6872 3325
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2052 3836 66 346 456 328 1 0
OW 0 582 57 745 865 825 182 0
VODI 0 222 31 312 685 1188 812 0
ODI 0 9 5 104 337 856 717 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 167 1139 1046 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 118 3647 8153 2152
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1789 4006 62 262 41 0 0 0
OW 0 369 79 500 161 4 1 0
VODI 0 37 19 521 662 128 84 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 1080 366 271 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 918 1578 1015 46
VCDI 0 0 0 0 327 4100 10286 3254
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1526 3262 39 181 202 8 0 0
OW 0 220 24 356 340 72 0 0
VODI 0 31 19 178 904 270 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 73 520 720 186 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 240 1690 694 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 6264 9971 3958
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1526 3306 47 228 240 15 0 0
OW 0 180 19 286 311 74 0 0
VODI 0 27 16 196 815 266 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 77 504 643 159 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 303 1311 659 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 141 6715 10046 3950

Date: 2020-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2098 2753 11 60 110 30 0 0
OW 0 473 19 75 88 147 0 0
VODI 0 229 33 209 150 438 138 0
ODI 0 54 22 225 186 537 224 0
CDI 0 0 0 127 435 853 571 59
VCDI 0 0 0 0 629 4978 10626 5495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2098 2934 15 88 70 35 0 0
OW 0 310 19 48 129 148 0 0
VODI 0 188 29 193 112 420 164 0
ODI 0 68 19 184 180 457 226 0
CDI 0 9 3 171 356 762 446 72
VCDI 0 0 0 12 751 5161 10723 5482

Date: 2020-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2309 3264 10 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 295 43 173 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 19 247 172 72 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 410 288 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 372 1882 265 12
VCDI 0 0 0 4 218 4439 9769 7651
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2303 2837 6 9 45 31 0 0
OW 6 315 9 18 43 166 0 0
VODI 0 288 23 100 84 347 33 0
ODI 0 138 23 146 110 647 128 3
CDI 0 38 8 145 261 813 320 56
VCDI 0 7 3 94 637 4677 9561 7604

Date: 2020-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2721 2694 25 33 0 0 0 0
OW 32 337 13 100 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 215 15 109 68 78 2 0
ODI 0 84 10 119 166 332 54 0
CDI 0 14 6 124 270 1045 373 45
VCDI 0 0 0 20 402 5455 10619 6501
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2608 2200 4 3 0 33 0 0
OW 82 396 10 8 0 79 34 0
VODI 63 354 20 115 1 291 152 0
ODI 0 192 12 124 117 581 175 0
CDI 0 127 18 81 262 1026 324 25
VCDI 0 75 5 174 527 4900 10363 6521

Date: 2020-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2005 2808 30 93 0 0 0 0
OW 0 560 14 128 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 177 16 129 143 1 0 0
ODI 0 87 4 93 224 116 40 0
CDI 0 69 3 57 256 710 279 8
VCDI 0 19 6 66 332 5552 11416 6591
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2005 2284 9 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 569 17 32 0 15 32 0
VODI 0 466 19 199 9 119 167 0
ODI 0 192 14 172 223 268 298 6
CDI 0 145 5 43 363 800 605 60
VCDI 0 64 9 115 410 5177 10633 6533


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