Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-11-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5931 10461 116 638 474 1 0 0
OW 0 905 71 694 768 71 0 0
VODI 0 239 41 386 818 183 0 0
ODI 0 6 12 176 362 323 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 248 465 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 1069 3665 3844
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4115 9965 148 730 516 38 0 0
OW 0 864 78 1023 991 323 0 0
VODI 0 65 25 554 896 729 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 166 477 623 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 264 528 84 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 746 3878 4206
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2856 8292 188 1153 313 0 0 0
OW 0 361 42 790 911 6 0 0
VODI 0 25 3 287 1412 238 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 1267 1211 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 354 1956 423 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 419 4264 5217
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2614 6008 150 884 824 136 0 0
OW 0 502 41 639 942 749 0 0
VODI 0 88 25 266 864 830 11 0
ODI 0 0 1 67 562 1235 161 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 404 1776 860 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 987 5466 4946
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2614 5979 155 1017 921 218 0 0
OW 0 477 37 470 763 697 0 0
VODI 0 142 25 312 943 871 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 561 1099 192 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 408 1753 970 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 1075 5317 4946

Date: 2020-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2319 4306 77 536 632 238 0 0
OW 0 771 57 628 933 930 48 0
VODI 0 253 29 302 597 1591 224 0
ODI 0 23 5 93 294 1066 335 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 198 1542 735 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 3703 8118 1370
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2318 4387 80 596 833 290 0 0
OW 1 572 50 516 734 954 50 0
VODI 0 385 37 376 561 1629 240 0
ODI 0 9 1 81 351 935 335 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 189 1394 784 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 82 3868 8051 1370

Date: 2020-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1854 4093 78 316 57 0 0 0
OW 0 284 51 465 161 60 1 0
VODI 0 15 18 504 700 261 155 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 1236 536 209 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 466 2697 1714 38
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 3189 9597 3198
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1851 3787 56 363 365 310 175 0
OW 3 416 65 480 649 372 341 0
VODI 0 189 26 461 793 948 1099 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 484 923 875 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 268 908 989 65
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 3282 8197 3171

Date: 2020-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1628 3591 65 259 145 4 0 0
OW 0 241 36 514 279 32 0 0
VODI 0 19 19 347 869 158 23 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 867 532 176 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 592 1535 826 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 319 3997 10636 4298
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1587 3350 49 308 366 160 148 0
OW 41 423 42 449 747 405 282 0
VODI 0 77 28 305 764 707 907 1
ODI 0 1 1 121 610 870 1008 37
CDI 0 0 0 12 262 1228 1167 36
VCDI 0 0 0 0 322 2888 8149 4224

Date: 2020-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1601 3103 38 109 164 8 0 0
OW 0 316 22 204 212 126 0 0
VODI 0 149 13 149 445 598 8 0
ODI 0 27 17 93 334 736 128 0
CDI 0 0 0 94 149 1431 582 129
VCDI 0 0 0 17 255 6210 9382 5233
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1543 2966 23 67 189 175 104 0
OW 51 387 26 234 272 431 282 6
VODI 7 185 34 162 609 1436 514 124
ODI 0 44 4 117 157 922 698 419
CDI 0 13 3 61 125 895 1273 580
VCDI 0 0 0 25 207 5250 7229 4233


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