Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-10-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13069 8261 65 176 23 0 0 0
OW 5 852 59 327 142 18 0 0
VODI 0 92 20 257 347 104 0 0
ODI 0 14 3 30 298 208 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 82 510 111 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 680 3388 2906
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10609 8733 61 329 92 1 0 0
OW 58 1772 77 376 214 64 0 0
VODI 0 198 27 321 306 156 11 0
ODI 0 13 3 77 235 218 100 0
CDI 0 1 4 7 51 382 257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 123 3315 3891
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9746 10239 124 448 18 0 0 0
OW 1 569 62 475 176 1 0 0
VODI 0 72 9 292 424 31 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 44 365 172 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 5 113 559 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 307 3714 4057
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7681 10112 107 469 140 0 0 0
OW 0 931 91 781 379 4 0 0
VODI 0 119 29 450 673 161 0 0
ODI 0 13 6 74 400 230 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 6 260 342 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 825 3658 4049
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7662 9938 124 631 174 0 0 0
OW 19 1005 72 573 418 0 0 0
VODI 0 199 29 478 597 128 0 0
ODI 0 30 7 87 402 267 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 8 250 341 54 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 25 826 3680 4049

Date: 2020-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5194 10189 102 748 489 1 0 0
OW 0 865 79 884 828 150 0 0
VODI 0 255 39 459 1028 245 0 0
ODI 0 10 10 218 360 423 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 258 483 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 103 1105 3788 3726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5175 10153 118 813 535 66 0 0
OW 19 708 53 668 678 86 0 0
VODI 0 430 45 579 1062 206 0 0
ODI 0 28 14 247 461 434 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 220 550 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 110 1065 3779 3726

Date: 2020-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3248 9433 170 719 44 0 0 0
OW 0 473 83 1035 297 4 0 0
VODI 0 33 15 796 1247 80 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 103 1793 755 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 490 1662 292 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 363 4175 4727
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3245 9113 192 1283 841 65 0 0
OW 3 731 58 680 892 298 22 0
VODI 0 95 18 620 1393 631 45 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 545 812 115 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 225 660 378 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 398 3914 4727

Date: 2020-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2576 7152 172 1170 665 40 0 0
OW 0 336 34 714 1175 175 0 0
VODI 0 35 13 233 1078 578 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 757 1453 125 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 349 2044 594 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 644 4445 5502
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2566 6832 157 993 1071 209 1 0
OW 10 646 56 852 1255 847 52 0
VODI 0 45 6 271 1209 1476 223 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 355 1168 407 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 122 866 565 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 368 3916 5502

Date: 2020-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2933 4685 81 666 843 58 0 0
OW 0 814 69 626 984 685 0 0
VODI 0 260 37 263 880 1132 63 0
ODI 0 6 3 107 408 1082 225 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 369 1758 641 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 2120 6872 3325
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2904 4841 91 625 850 469 23 0
OW 29 882 84 661 869 1034 148 0
VODI 0 42 15 368 1474 1761 536 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 235 1397 635 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 109 777 798 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1397 5661 3325


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