Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-09-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96522 4554 16 87 6 0 0 0
OW 0 257 20 220 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 29 234 344 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 76 377 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 223 602 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1702 3521 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96419 4637 15 52 11 0 0 0
OW 0 314 13 175 46 2 0 0
VODI 0 135 17 188 266 11 0 0
ODI 0 36 9 71 275 94 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 276 504 67 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 1111 3757 556
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96570 4773 17 38 6 0 0 0
OW 0 233 15 138 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 22 240 125 1 0 0
ODI 0 14 2 68 340 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 23 382 301 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 98 738 2883 1933
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95692 5354 18 96 8 0 0 0
OW 0 157 25 156 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 16 234 142 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 54 279 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 232 264 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 1400 4054 679
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95692 5385 23 91 7 0 0 0
OW 0 128 22 174 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 15 214 163 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 61 275 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 211 303 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 1348 4041 679

Date: 2020-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95417 5023 43 226 36 0 0 0
OW 0 55 17 175 185 8 0 0
VODI 0 3 6 86 315 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 152 168 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 110 369 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 1616 4418 452
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95417 5038 46 251 59 0 0 0
OW 0 42 15 154 172 6 0 0
VODI 0 1 5 81 304 88 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 141 177 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 121 369 123 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1604 4398 447

Date: 2020-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95100 5082 43 228 17 0 0 0
OW 0 35 13 172 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 128 232 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 310 86 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 83 577 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2081 3952 805
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95100 5085 43 287 78 2 0 0
OW 0 21 12 165 138 12 0 0
VODI 0 10 2 73 326 70 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 13 132 183 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 57 340 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 2151 3903 805

Date: 2020-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95454 4779 31 155 29 0 0 0
OW 0 68 11 133 102 1 0 0
VODI 0 14 8 110 169 43 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 44 173 102 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 133 276 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 81 1750 4318 1105
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95454 4768 32 181 52 0 0 0
OW 0 63 12 130 130 19 0 0
VODI 0 20 3 112 208 85 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 15 151 144 1 0
CDI 0 2 2 11 70 220 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 76 1704 4298 1105

Date: 2020-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95532 4558 28 163 49 0 0 0
OW 0 82 11 78 143 1 0 0
VODI 0 16 5 72 226 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 27 160 132 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 83 295 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 961 4603 1766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95532 4499 28 128 59 0 0 0
OW 0 116 8 97 149 6 0 0
VODI 0 34 5 90 221 87 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 19 159 146 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 69 265 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 929 4592 1766


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 11:53:33 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy