Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-09-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20586 5034 22 56 0 0 0 0
OW 10 372 55 216 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 18 374 355 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 17 1029 375 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 165 1318 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 440 1356 7
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20394 5068 13 16 0 0 0 0
OW 6 460 46 192 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 27 339 267 10 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 54 724 344 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 179 1172 350 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 17 1772 439
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20049 5402 60 107 0 0 0 0
OW 1 166 26 194 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 25 157 249 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 349 244 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 37 844 275 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 334 2339 1046
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20313 5130 15 29 0 0 0 0
OW 1 377 31 157 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 174 35 124 211 26 0 0
ODI 0 16 12 139 236 132 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 338 673 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1940 1867 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20313 5334 26 88 21 0 0 0
OW 1 243 24 91 111 0 0 0
VODI 0 119 40 147 190 30 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 127 279 151 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 281 718 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1872 1867 1

Date: 2020-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21014 4364 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 1 734 34 133 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 282 28 214 128 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 23 152 288 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 461 453 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 1257 2380 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21015 4841 13 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 398 30 116 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 172 27 218 144 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 18 148 348 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 397 513 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1180 2389 0

Date: 2020-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19551 6459 19 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 282 57 141 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 17 401 122 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 701 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 124 748 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2009 1369 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19551 5811 14 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 709 33 108 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 213 29 279 91 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 17 161 370 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 480 372 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2367 1388 0

Date: 2020-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19560 6001 44 250 68 0 0 0
OW 0 242 19 53 179 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 22 235 255 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 409 129 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 261 574 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2324 1375 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19560 5203 28 124 17 0 0 0
OW 0 766 13 81 124 0 0 0
VODI 0 294 30 115 251 6 0 0
ODI 0 19 14 224 208 96 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 526 332 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 2596 1382 0

Date: 2020-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19841 5400 44 204 63 0 0 0
OW 3 390 6 83 207 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 26 176 149 91 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 144 198 172 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 421 275 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 3288 694 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19843 4653 29 104 28 0 0 0
OW 1 739 14 102 154 4 0 0
VODI 0 406 3 87 181 90 0 0
ODI 0 133 29 177 62 154 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 141 428 227 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 195 3351 726 0


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