Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-09-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19082 6684 66 197 12 0 0 0
OW 5 817 84 615 252 0 0 0
VODI 0 182 40 647 685 1 0 0
ODI 0 37 19 191 1102 329 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 219 969 526 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 2143 10818 95
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18208 6267 55 270 128 1 0 0
OW 41 1942 68 312 72 44 0 0
VODI 0 340 59 801 485 59 8 0
ODI 0 34 13 411 1100 141 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 491 1012 189 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1671 9166 2403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18268 7432 94 457 119 0 0 0
OW 0 385 58 411 171 19 0 0
VODI 0 139 26 881 533 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 198 1009 303 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 349 1108 350 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 1796 9053 2631
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17555 6765 83 535 266 36 0 0
OW 17 670 71 471 343 114 0 0
VODI 0 98 23 697 671 214 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 135 972 424 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 323 1124 479 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1718 10232 1789
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17572 7025 110 682 428 59 0 0
OW 0 388 46 357 219 150 0 0
VODI 0 119 21 648 541 206 2 0
ODI 0 1 2 142 987 375 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 385 1033 385 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 1807 10308 1789

Date: 2020-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17246 6062 73 311 260 144 25 0
OW 97 1116 60 500 221 273 109 0
VODI 0 52 30 611 821 272 63 0
ODI 0 0 2 207 888 482 107 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 379 792 662 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2202 10211 1579
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17009 6748 90 458 291 193 102 0
OW 334 440 47 391 258 257 45 0
VODI 0 40 26 601 747 247 52 0
ODI 0 2 2 170 842 459 116 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 429 736 601 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 2273 10261 1579

Date: 2020-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16796 7645 85 293 18 0 0 0
OW 0 399 68 438 108 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 28 753 544 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 147 1469 238 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 281 1730 372 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2186 11887 346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16531 7082 91 409 169 59 3 0
OW 243 842 51 409 334 153 51 0
VODI 22 130 32 538 609 430 89 0
ODI 0 12 7 202 706 529 222 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 557 627 544 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 2369 11350 346

Date: 2020-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16745 7664 93 295 71 0 0 0
OW 0 385 67 454 207 23 0 0
VODI 0 31 17 462 757 132 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 1068 500 87 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 365 1309 720 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 3907 9978 410
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16601 7062 90 291 100 13 49 0
OW 144 836 51 461 339 108 195 0
VODI 0 168 29 354 763 357 256 0
ODI 0 14 7 149 741 539 251 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 522 1002 308 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 3852 9728 410

Date: 2020-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16932 6960 81 387 235 5 0 0
OW 0 635 58 328 366 68 0 0
VODI 0 150 30 539 543 236 23 0
ODI 0 3 3 152 879 415 264 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 366 989 1085 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 74 3390 8941 1727
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16885 6512 84 328 89 18 9 0
OW 47 956 47 460 500 160 141 0
VODI 0 230 30 376 599 377 468 0
ODI 0 50 10 206 644 315 448 0
CDI 0 0 1 38 553 746 570 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 3487 8677 1727


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