Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-09-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20139 4675 5 4 0 0 0 0
OW 27 633 34 42 1 0 0 0
VODI 1 129 53 459 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 191 880 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 877 1415 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 615 1568 179
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20239 4643 6 6 0 0 0 0
OW 17 704 28 48 2 0 0 0
VODI 1 221 58 371 68 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 261 758 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1146 1115 91 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 742 1327 228
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21032 4838 15 18 0 0 0 0
OW 11 257 68 162 3 0 0 0
VODI 1 29 14 567 190 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 1520 140 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 283 1407 60 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 217 1203 13
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20602 5130 21 24 0 0 0 0
OW 9 338 69 241 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 9 448 317 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 1126 384 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 154 1442 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 487 1127 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20606 5181 29 49 0 0 0 0
OW 5 255 47 235 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 23 411 337 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 1072 280 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 188 1440 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 593 1199 0

Date: 2020-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20661 4871 16 64 6 0 0 0
OW 8 416 48 183 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 29 376 287 42 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 36 798 470 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 154 1348 124 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 505 1457 30
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20663 4993 26 82 37 0 0 0
OW 6 264 34 168 67 1 0 0
VODI 0 111 31 334 271 53 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 75 759 371 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 177 1323 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 617 1526 30

Date: 2020-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19996 5611 34 64 0 0 0 0
OW 8 209 36 169 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 24 299 142 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 684 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 101 1150 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 183 2288 909
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19999 5392 31 112 34 0 0 0
OW 5 341 30 150 64 3 0 0
VODI 0 115 31 233 226 142 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 57 542 426 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 66 746 625 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 44 1742 909

Date: 2020-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20222 5176 33 88 3 0 0 0
OW 1 241 24 134 133 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 30 111 197 75 0 0
ODI 0 3 7 91 237 220 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 137 709 246 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 457 2350 1044
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20222 4956 27 72 1 0 0 0
OW 1 388 26 137 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 169 35 162 266 162 0 0
ODI 0 20 6 47 260 513 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 44 697 600 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 89 1978 1044

Date: 2020-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20889 4542 7 5 0 0 0 0
OW 1 593 28 179 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 255 29 161 157 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 21 149 289 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 405 585 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 2028 1634 3
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20889 4426 11 11 0 0 0 0
OW 1 600 29 159 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 341 26 222 250 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 17 77 401 197 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 40 201 787 112 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 1668 1532 3


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