Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-09-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16147 6700 44 128 18 0 0 0
OW 0 341 49 406 76 15 0 0
VODI 0 48 14 573 465 264 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 1158 959 144 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 492 2617 415 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 901 77 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16635 6457 34 137 21 0 0 0
OW 0 439 42 379 142 30 3 0
VODI 0 107 22 471 368 481 61 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 1094 420 672 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 421 1925 942 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 279 439 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16939 6471 39 96 1 0 0 0
OW 0 433 46 233 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 24 554 209 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 1232 102 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 124 2115 368 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 457 2486 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17551 6113 24 51 5 0 0 0
OW 0 528 49 214 31 6 0 0
VODI 0 134 26 473 205 19 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 1126 121 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 367 1744 764 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 397 1713 304
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17551 6132 31 75 25 3 0 0
OW 0 516 37 159 22 8 0 0
VODI 0 127 31 503 230 15 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 1074 134 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 383 1774 564 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 353 1910 304

Date: 2020-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17745 6169 12 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 706 47 154 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 33 454 231 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 97 955 341 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 391 2540 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 553 1234 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17745 6153 14 24 4 0 0 0
OW 0 712 27 93 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 170 50 503 274 8 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 101 856 392 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 437 2099 258 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 939 1192 0

Date: 2020-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18999 5709 9 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 548 47 88 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 36 490 124 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 1369 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 220 2430 371 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 618 848 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18999 5233 8 18 4 0 0 0
OW 0 761 22 33 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 302 51 460 251 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 11 97 844 322 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 587 1675 473 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1095 746 0

Date: 2020-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19984 4846 6 4 0 0 0 0
OW 26 528 46 76 1 0 0 0
VODI 3 103 40 419 128 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 958 189 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 214 2014 333 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 326 1715 52
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19972 4282 8 16 4 0 0 0
OW 36 629 15 25 12 0 0 0
VODI 4 530 55 342 92 6 0 0
ODI 1 36 13 165 750 334 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 22 443 1637 261 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 552 1787 52

Date: 2020-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20139 4675 5 4 0 0 0 0
OW 27 633 34 42 1 0 0 0
VODI 1 129 53 459 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 191 880 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 877 1415 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 615 1568 179
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20146 3906 5 8 0 0 0 0
OW 18 696 4 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 3 746 49 178 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 80 28 409 612 15 0 0
CDI 0 9 6 91 1080 988 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 109 1030 1585 179


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