Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-09-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18813 6874 71 255 7 0 0 0
OW 2 1072 104 639 178 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 37 1119 879 163 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 210 1216 1146 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 591 3633 2082 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 5158 1520 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19172 6686 70 200 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1213 94 659 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 176 59 1030 851 49 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 304 1496 527 13 0
CDI 0 0 1 38 864 4939 718 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 5 2849 3713 62
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20441 6125 46 126 10 0 0 0
OW 0 915 90 460 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 189 75 1251 266 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 304 2016 162 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 589 3308 594 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 883 6839 1119
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19971 6619 44 144 6 0 0 0
OW 0 1060 77 416 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 226 69 1057 337 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 395 1651 160 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 833 3185 400 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 922 6221 1978
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19964 6619 45 156 10 0 0 0
OW 7 1054 83 386 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 232 60 1061 374 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 408 1549 194 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 907 3096 362 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 977 6259 1978

Date: 2020-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20036 6462 38 133 5 0 0 0
OW 0 1019 66 480 205 0 0 0
VODI 0 226 71 677 609 16 0 0
ODI 0 18 16 256 1156 569 2 0
CDI 0 1 0 58 483 2548 1102 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 51 1217 6430 1915
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20036 6563 45 197 36 0 0 0
OW 0 910 68 420 190 0 0 0
VODI 0 221 64 659 612 31 0 0
ODI 0 29 14 275 1071 593 2 0
CDI 0 3 0 54 554 2472 1181 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 1254 6351 1915

Date: 2020-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20364 6521 47 46 7 0 0 0
OW 0 922 87 440 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 126 63 1116 270 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 163 1991 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 502 2870 227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 2075 7318 581
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20364 6306 46 185 21 0 0 0
OW 0 946 74 475 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 298 66 644 546 10 0 0
ODI 0 19 11 382 1303 141 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 794 2130 536 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 105 2724 7009 581

Date: 2020-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19420 7351 49 97 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1001 76 429 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 216 62 723 499 27 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 214 1158 503 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 368 1307 1271 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 3201 7132 638
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19420 6915 57 168 26 0 0 0
OW 0 1233 63 387 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 336 44 554 623 43 0 0
ODI 0 85 24 263 908 475 104 0
CDI 0 0 0 97 354 1001 997 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 3519 7353 638

Date: 2020-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19445 6857 51 88 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1302 86 412 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 375 54 751 403 23 0 0
ODI 0 10 18 323 1083 320 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 431 1327 747 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 1329 8416 1931
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19445 6587 66 194 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1364 56 332 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 450 60 624 545 10 0 0
ODI 0 133 22 312 937 315 3 0
CDI 0 10 5 140 347 1062 669 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 1612 8499 1931


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