Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-08-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95853 4840 16 110 17 0 0 0
OW 0 276 38 331 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 22 791 414 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 351 2254 547 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 629 2284 181 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95672 5006 25 135 22 0 0 0
OW 0 312 43 335 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 20 772 491 6 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 275 2180 663 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 498 2395 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95714 4943 26 145 3 0 0 0
OW 0 246 41 339 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 19 770 298 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 167 1649 506 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 272 2414 1474 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96229 4363 21 134 30 0 0 0
OW 0 222 42 376 64 2 0 0
VODI 0 46 18 653 441 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 98 1580 529 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 512 1924 1759 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96229 4355 19 224 27 0 0 0
OW 0 227 40 338 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 22 605 483 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 1508 571 167 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 547 1888 1626 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0

Date: 2020-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95496 5131 11 102 9 0 0 0
OW 0 332 32 325 67 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 41 578 417 6 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 158 1496 631 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 290 3582 273 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95496 5137 17 214 18 0 0 0
OW 0 308 28 297 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 38 484 462 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 166 1412 795 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 315 3420 249 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96302 4947 12 47 8 0 0 0
OW 0 329 59 235 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 17 600 281 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 1943 160 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 400 3479 128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96302 4680 20 97 22 0 0 0
OW 0 401 30 209 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 212 30 424 349 17 0 0
ODI 0 13 8 237 1669 348 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 546 3274 124 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96669 4790 18 72 3 0 0 0
OW 0 336 35 225 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 23 444 360 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 82 1586 195 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 781 3329 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96669 4384 15 117 20 0 0 0
OW 0 430 24 167 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 326 22 285 387 14 0 0
ODI 0 87 17 231 1413 402 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 873 3110 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96912 4582 13 28 1 0 0 0
OW 0 498 36 149 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 31 487 282 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 4 88 1151 341 3 0
CDI 0 1 2 8 592 2564 1160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96912 4104 14 72 3 0 0 0
OW 0 537 15 86 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 429 32 328 254 4 0 0
ODI 0 145 22 252 1143 405 162 0
CDI 0 13 3 22 599 2496 1001 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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