Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-08-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14983 6162 25 56 9 0 0 0
OW 0 672 33 167 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 139 39 869 263 20 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 113 1672 385 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 156 2344 801 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 550 2045 520
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15243 5988 21 64 2 0 0 0
OW 0 787 31 168 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 220 52 854 326 25 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 188 1691 216 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 379 2759 217 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2061 737 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15619 6657 44 96 2 0 0 0
OW 0 381 37 272 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 31 869 292 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 2155 167 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 105 2563 983 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 312 1368 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16051 6631 41 130 18 0 0 0
OW 0 333 44 388 60 6 0 0
VODI 0 42 15 622 593 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 54 1492 728 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 549 2720 347 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1027 144 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16051 6607 40 136 33 0 0 0
OW 0 329 34 392 52 15 0 0
VODI 0 70 26 613 601 62 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 53 1454 590 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 572 2629 365 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1230 126 0

Date: 2020-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16402 6590 37 131 25 0 0 0
OW 0 384 49 396 103 30 0 0
VODI 0 77 17 515 410 399 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 1111 725 386 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 508 2386 476 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 508 345 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16402 6618 34 155 40 13 0 0
OW 0 354 48 325 116 25 6 0
VODI 0 79 21 568 503 298 32 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 970 731 340 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 528 2372 534 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 609 317 0

Date: 2020-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16845 6439 28 88 0 0 0 0
OW 0 404 51 254 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 21 628 199 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 1292 83 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 52 2026 474 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 273 2831 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16845 6269 36 163 62 22 4 0
OW 0 516 36 251 165 19 11 0
VODI 0 109 28 548 492 428 140 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 663 589 677 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 180 1162 2066 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 167 407 0

Date: 2020-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17208 6325 31 76 4 0 0 0
OW 0 460 53 224 43 6 0 0
VODI 0 104 21 499 207 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 37 1158 155 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 115 1972 656 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 179 2178 339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17208 6134 44 162 83 28 15 0
OW 0 550 37 199 155 48 28 0
VODI 0 205 24 444 499 459 221 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 613 421 779 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 177 1251 1558 277
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 123 247 62

Date: 2020-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17513 6292 15 23 1 0 0 0
OW 0 604 56 199 21 2 0 0
VODI 0 137 26 439 239 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 1187 133 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 245 2003 757 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 445 1384 261
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17513 6174 32 104 40 31 3 0
OW 0 603 38 283 171 21 12 0
VODI 0 248 22 293 702 553 99 0
ODI 0 8 5 48 525 592 622 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 255 1262 1298 280
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 138 107 0


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