Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-08-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13880 6392 17 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 597 70 207 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 32 882 548 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 1853 1309 209 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 56 1586 3509 164
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 39 504 31
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14284 6242 20 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 626 55 213 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 192 34 861 525 23 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 111 1825 1241 415 6
CDI 0 0 0 0 81 1217 2499 1186
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 300 65
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14578 6436 23 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 526 51 218 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 24 1037 206 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 1776 284 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 167 1998 594 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 521 2491 926
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14614 6480 33 67 6 0 0 0
OW 0 624 34 191 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 38 905 248 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 101 1740 315 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 170 1925 1009 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 525 2193 670
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14614 6612 36 111 10 0 0 0
OW 0 461 37 229 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 30 787 377 11 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 135 1470 274 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 306 1798 804 48
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 699 2357 622

Date: 2020-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15063 6113 25 59 8 0 0 0
OW 0 729 29 162 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 148 40 870 284 22 0 0
ODI 0 8 5 142 1743 276 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 238 2344 840 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 711 2177 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15063 6344 26 78 11 0 0 0
OW 0 454 36 202 41 1 0 0
VODI 0 184 32 800 400 25 0 0
ODI 0 16 5 151 1492 268 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 375 2289 613 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 770 2404 0

Date: 2020-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15469 6556 28 69 0 0 0 0
OW 0 440 37 247 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 45 875 248 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 2221 193 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 28 3285 198 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 654 1372 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15469 6138 22 77 5 0 0 0
OW 0 577 29 122 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 333 53 795 442 10 0 0
ODI 0 13 6 231 1479 129 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 545 2479 332 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1514 1238 0

Date: 2020-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15848 6645 35 112 4 0 0 0
OW 0 402 46 299 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 21 812 408 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 2009 257 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 257 3380 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 942 448 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15848 6014 19 62 3 0 0 0
OW 0 670 29 133 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 380 50 758 473 35 0 0
ODI 0 14 4 311 1421 161 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 775 2546 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1840 469 0

Date: 2020-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16147 6700 44 128 18 0 0 0
OW 0 341 49 406 76 15 0 0
VODI 0 48 14 573 465 264 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 1158 959 144 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 492 2617 415 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 901 77 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16147 6039 24 75 9 0 0 0
OW 0 629 27 180 55 33 0 0
VODI 0 375 45 547 282 414 87 0
ODI 0 46 11 330 798 564 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 1065 1876 390 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1869 99 0


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