Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-08-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14579 5477 79 345 9 0 0 0
OW 0 939 79 1065 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 221 64 3380 1168 7 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 715 4135 371 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 926 5972 1868 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 6 926 3041 453
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15221 5366 66 192 18 0 0 0
OW 0 2165 83 472 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 815 100 2822 1028 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 648 3580 222 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 904 6102 1764 53
VCDI 0 0 0 4 1 379 3253 554
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15879 6210 72 213 0 0 0 0
OW 10 1703 50 256 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 776 79 3114 644 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 261 3695 113 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 748 5097 629 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 973 4692 622
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17592 5087 54 161 0 0 0 0
OW 167 1733 62 258 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 733 76 2706 1016 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 247 2739 394 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 743 4445 1486 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 1098 4807 185
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17656 5549 65 185 1 0 0 0
OW 103 1384 56 356 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 620 71 2429 1104 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 402 2677 461 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 723 4329 1376 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1151 4917 185

Date: 2020-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18089 5031 49 104 0 0 0 0
OW 224 1921 59 289 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 685 83 2464 1119 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 313 2226 300 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 975 5019 1067 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3542 2232 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18203 5561 53 136 1 0 0 0
OW 110 1454 64 500 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 622 74 2126 1027 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 402 2345 386 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 932 4657 1067 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3827 2232 0

Date: 2020-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19327 5762 38 83 4 0 0 0
OW 36 1444 109 375 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 175 63 2202 311 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 165 2987 132 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 506 5342 568 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1826 4381 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19105 5140 32 98 18 0 0 0
OW 252 1552 85 523 32 0 0 0
VODI 6 688 92 1816 981 71 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 362 2099 284 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 680 4682 847 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 10 2264 4102 0

Date: 2020-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19032 6504 80 151 6 0 0 0
OW 5 1101 86 667 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 47 1352 961 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 269 2551 140 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 431 3736 2245 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1745 3752 813
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18716 5529 57 170 2 0 0 0
OW 225 1618 71 642 172 0 0 0
VODI 96 549 73 1237 1581 19 0 0
ODI 0 28 12 343 1747 282 3 0
CDI 0 2 1 58 498 3221 2606 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 6 2099 3388 813

Date: 2020-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18813 6874 71 255 7 0 0 0
OW 2 1072 104 639 178 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 37 1119 879 163 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 210 1216 1146 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 591 3633 2082 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 5158 1520 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18529 5761 57 160 6 0 0 0
OW 205 1730 75 651 165 45 0 0
VODI 81 488 65 1135 1332 426 0 0
ODI 0 32 13 232 825 1092 27 0
CDI 0 2 4 57 470 3442 2327 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 82 5095 1249 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 11:25:21 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy