Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-08-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94539 4852 42 223 59 8 0 0
OW 0 130 19 231 143 19 0 0
VODI 0 63 12 293 557 97 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 128 1427 1895 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 32 747 3493 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93741 5782 59 267 45 0 0 0
OW 0 133 20 259 187 2 0 0
VODI 0 51 17 279 758 81 0 0
ODI 0 18 3 129 1519 2172 0 0
CDI 0 5 3 49 734 2453 334 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94942 4726 45 258 46 0 0 0
OW 0 106 24 278 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 20 489 498 3 0 0
ODI 0 27 3 153 2344 496 58 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 485 2832 979 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 6 175 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95006 4934 41 235 28 0 0 0
OW 0 192 33 348 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 118 24 648 444 5 0 0
ODI 0 55 5 388 2425 436 124 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 479 2575 448 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 53 8 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95003 4941 44 241 33 0 0 0
OW 3 189 30 366 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 115 23 629 428 5 0 0
ODI 0 49 6 379 2411 965 114 0
CDI 0 5 0 6 496 2052 421 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 47 45 0

Date: 2020-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94305 5832 43 192 19 0 0 0
OW 0 248 31 387 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 119 28 644 485 5 0 0
ODI 0 56 4 278 2339 1087 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 366 2070 405 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 36 2 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94304 5829 43 214 30 0 0 0
OW 1 247 30 393 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 27 628 524 5 0 0
ODI 0 49 6 271 2190 1496 32 0
CDI 0 6 0 8 463 1662 394 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 35 31 0

Date: 2020-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95221 5147 38 158 15 0 0 0
OW 0 129 37 343 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 12 837 280 3 0 0
ODI 0 29 3 140 2665 281 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 274 3182 91 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 17 114 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95220 4897 32 230 36 0 0 0
OW 1 254 25 395 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 158 28 632 528 9 0 0
ODI 0 32 5 220 2291 1716 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 1 345 1705 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 53 2 0

Date: 2020-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95992 4572 29 129 28 0 0 0
OW 0 160 39 341 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 19 836 378 1 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 326 2354 425 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 410 2932 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 34 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95991 4247 26 189 40 0 0 0
OW 1 285 25 355 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 234 30 663 616 1 0 0
ODI 0 20 8 419 2082 1536 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 399 1828 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 27 0 0

Date: 2020-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95853 4840 16 110 17 0 0 0
OW 0 276 38 331 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 22 791 414 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 351 2254 547 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 629 2284 181 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95853 4470 14 131 28 0 0 0
OW 0 360 23 322 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 347 31 745 644 16 0 0
ODI 0 21 9 374 2033 1349 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 604 1478 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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