Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-08-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91241 7794 70 340 18 0 0 0
OW 0 67 10 316 108 3 0 0
VODI 0 14 5 130 604 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 73 1568 429 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 404 5870 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92390 6813 64 310 36 0 0 0
OW 0 75 14 283 194 2 0 0
VODI 0 22 5 141 733 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 77 1501 765 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 706 4918 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92453 6808 66 320 52 0 0 0
OW 0 96 19 218 133 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 8 242 486 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 1812 860 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 725 4319 350 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93169 6110 65 286 48 0 0 0
OW 0 128 17 201 170 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 13 239 591 49 0 0
ODI 0 3 6 84 1518 1701 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 380 3816 433 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93167 6101 66 315 78 0 0 0
OW 2 119 13 156 165 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 15 236 563 98 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 101 1542 1701 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 359 3767 432 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94980 4507 40 243 46 0 0 0
OW 0 138 17 239 189 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 12 261 678 81 0 0
ODI 0 13 3 136 1335 2156 13 0
CDI 0 1 2 39 862 2943 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94975 4500 41 278 73 0 0 0
OW 5 119 15 202 189 1 0 0
VODI 0 75 12 254 634 167 0 0
ODI 0 19 4 141 1385 1994 13 0
CDI 0 3 2 43 828 3018 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93914 5626 49 250 41 0 0 0
OW 0 122 24 271 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 20 468 400 9 0 0
ODI 0 20 4 178 2504 360 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 432 3988 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 19 216 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93907 5602 53 353 122 2 0 0
OW 7 108 18 226 198 21 0 0
VODI 0 44 17 325 791 277 0 0
ODI 0 26 5 215 1316 1882 25 0
CDI 0 20 4 48 1020 2194 274 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95414 4352 45 257 36 0 0 0
OW 0 153 31 314 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 20 488 567 2 0 0
ODI 0 34 6 262 2543 258 110 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 544 2977 451 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 108 3 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95405 4321 48 337 108 0 0 0
OW 9 147 21 268 237 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 25 368 1117 143 3 0
ODI 0 22 4 255 1407 1604 319 0
CDI 0 29 4 93 898 1598 242 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95118 4911 51 209 57 0 0 0
OW 0 229 30 312 115 0 0 0
VODI 0 150 27 347 747 4 0 0
ODI 0 57 4 180 2600 594 214 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 490 2023 591 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 26 14 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95112 4912 52 296 129 0 0 0
OW 6 188 23 260 303 3 0 0
VODI 0 160 26 270 974 481 64 0
ODI 0 55 11 183 1604 1005 686 0
CDI 0 32 0 39 999 1158 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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