Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90279 8147 61 335 49 0 0 0
OW 3 128 32 256 84 10 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 183 461 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 632 945 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 243 4164 3025 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90663 7913 59 320 66 0 0 0
OW 0 137 25 276 67 16 0 0
VODI 0 17 4 196 523 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 957 816 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 379 6477 84 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90942 7890 71 345 9 0 0 0
OW 0 71 24 293 27 3 0 0
VODI 0 9 4 231 352 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 1532 206 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 448 6562 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91094 7852 73 405 5 0 0 0
OW 0 60 16 287 85 3 0 0
VODI 0 8 6 145 535 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 1458 393 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 351 6183 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91094 7833 78 442 11 0 0 0
OW 0 68 8 253 101 2 0 0
VODI 0 19 9 134 538 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 1413 808 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 371 5765 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

Date: 2020-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91320 7747 68 307 79 2 0 0
OW 0 73 8 260 168 17 0 0
VODI 0 17 9 121 643 78 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 74 1513 649 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 606 5260 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91320 7736 64 363 89 6 0 0
OW 0 78 12 193 187 15 0 0
VODI 0 23 8 124 643 85 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 79 1491 961 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 599 4939 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92277 6938 69 320 21 0 0 0
OW 0 87 18 232 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 6 313 380 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 2221 213 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 587 4962 261 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92277 6930 71 412 79 0 0 0
OW 0 82 12 217 223 3 0 0
VODI 0 22 8 156 779 75 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 133 1420 1078 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 787 4030 242 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92723 6505 84 323 56 0 0 0
OW 0 118 15 220 139 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 9 272 546 19 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 90 1784 1129 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 617 3607 801 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92723 6481 81 417 182 1 0 0
OW 0 120 15 149 268 29 0 0
VODI 0 44 11 193 757 148 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 130 1273 1272 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 662 3305 775 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94539 4852 42 223 59 8 0 0
OW 0 130 19 231 143 19 0 0
VODI 0 63 12 293 557 97 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 128 1427 1895 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 32 747 3493 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94525 4855 48 349 166 73 0 0
OW 14 102 8 119 280 74 0 0
VODI 0 75 16 198 707 291 0 0
ODI 0 21 4 168 953 1450 6 0
CDI 0 5 3 73 827 3624 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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