Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9082 8959 93 386 28 0 0 0
OW 0 632 87 661 213 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 23 656 996 65 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 1935 2079 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 132 5244 701 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9483 8678 90 460 68 0 0 0
OW 0 639 76 687 332 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 8 415 1238 87 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 1989 2549 125 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 3 4487 639 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10774 7992 80 440 42 0 0 0
OW 1 279 47 449 133 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 8 447 566 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 3002 1055 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 687 5441 623 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10989 7872 81 403 47 0 0 0
OW 0 260 48 439 168 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 7 370 876 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 2528 2129 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 142 4807 903 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10989 7994 98 487 43 0 0 0
OW 0 140 36 388 151 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 337 944 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 2425 1653 102 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 198 5280 782 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 19 0

Date: 2020-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11433 7521 66 368 46 0 0 0
OW 0 252 37 530 166 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 8 394 1248 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 2279 2767 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 151 4509 227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11433 7616 75 491 44 0 0 0
OW 0 163 31 413 175 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 389 1310 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 2125 2078 67 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 236 5191 179 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12210 6956 71 332 11 0 0 0
OW 2 175 35 448 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 6 615 396 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 2963 384 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 125 6995 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 68 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12212 6955 72 476 39 0 0 0
OW 0 187 34 456 232 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 6 433 1699 51 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 1432 3161 160 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 148 4167 118 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12479 7000 78 274 30 0 0 0
OW 0 220 32 416 93 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 8 571 686 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 2650 1766 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 23 5678 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12479 6974 70 372 93 0 0 0
OW 0 261 40 413 304 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 8 472 1834 229 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 1142 3935 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 109 3280 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12802 6886 57 204 1 0 0 0
OW 0 360 40 383 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 18 798 602 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 3031 1797 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 3802 1106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12802 6894 63 346 26 0 0 0
OW 0 370 37 428 227 6 0 0
VODI 0 80 15 655 2035 248 24 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 1243 3236 351 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 130 2109 731 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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