Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88857 8858 86 407 56 0 0 0
OW 0 182 36 466 124 3 0 0
VODI 0 25 6 221 661 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 748 601 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 261 6491 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 981 2 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89341 8655 76 403 81 10 0 0
OW 0 165 45 426 127 7 0 0
VODI 0 20 4 171 652 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 637 1015 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 257 6158 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 645 50 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89107 9121 65 300 113 0 0 0
OW 0 106 46 327 44 7 0 0
VODI 0 4 3 210 334 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 909 480 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 167 6737 794 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 182 7 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90560 7808 61 329 49 0 0 0
OW 7 122 24 272 80 11 0 0
VODI 0 6 0 160 428 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 664 823 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 211 6178 1244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90566 7824 59 334 56 0 0 0
OW 1 103 24 246 58 13 0 0
VODI 0 9 2 181 444 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 602 1084 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 272 5910 1243 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 0

Date: 2020-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90380 8173 55 311 31 0 0 0
OW 0 118 27 261 89 12 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 149 527 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 611 1072 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 215 5564 1410 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90380 8181 62 321 35 0 0 0
OW 0 104 17 253 74 13 0 0
VODI 0 15 4 147 523 50 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 611 1376 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 230 5258 1374 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 0

Date: 2020-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91094 7628 64 334 26 0 0 0
OW 0 85 26 241 23 2 0 0
VODI 0 3 5 267 268 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 1474 205 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 284 7006 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91094 7581 70 381 39 1 0 0
OW 0 116 16 248 68 15 0 0
VODI 0 19 9 196 546 73 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 1002 1306 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 420 5828 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0

Date: 2020-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91298 7611 66 364 13 0 0 0
OW 0 61 16 312 43 4 0 0
VODI 0 9 5 202 433 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 1524 275 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 383 6390 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91298 7543 64 391 27 1 0 0
OW 0 115 17 268 107 16 0 0
VODI 0 23 5 201 643 90 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 48 1181 1234 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 438 5354 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91241 7794 70 340 18 0 0 0
OW 0 67 10 316 108 3 0 0
VODI 0 14 5 130 604 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 73 1568 429 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 404 5870 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91241 7750 67 384 41 0 0 0
OW 0 100 12 246 222 18 0 0
VODI 0 25 5 138 806 95 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 68 1099 1249 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 534 4969 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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