Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6511 8732 67 269 56 0 0 0
OW 0 833 94 645 99 4 0 0
VODI 1 185 71 1416 1094 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 1815 2929 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 0 5526 979 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 471 155 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7272 8567 53 247 52 0 0 0
OW 3 1089 92 579 61 10 0 0
VODI 0 255 74 1357 1566 131 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 41 1187 3774 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 0 30 5069 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 303 53 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8468 9051 96 340 12 0 0 0
OW 1 528 73 616 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 28 1233 754 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 2338 926 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 104 4806 2524 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8849 9097 88 355 22 0 0 0
OW 1 598 83 648 173 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 28 932 833 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 2092 1641 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 79 4837 1546 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8850 9172 101 496 25 0 0 0
OW 0 508 67 584 185 1 0 0
VODI 0 109 31 844 891 62 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 1972 1413 149 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 126 5043 1400 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0

Date: 2020-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9538 8587 82 428 40 0 0 0
OW 0 616 91 733 263 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 16 541 1099 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 2146 2172 85 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 20 4107 1449 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9538 8657 92 619 69 0 0 0
OW 0 497 68 516 287 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 29 566 1079 113 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 1959 1810 169 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 174 4372 1365 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9416 9177 98 399 26 0 0 0
OW 0 372 61 451 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 7 573 409 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 3077 387 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 129 6882 471 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9416 8916 103 667 132 0 0 0
OW 0 545 43 338 349 6 0 0
VODI 0 93 20 422 1257 254 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 1817 2240 76 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 189 4769 421 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10976 7885 83 399 49 0 0 0
OW 0 258 57 434 154 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 7 386 712 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 3110 1272 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 212 5237 838 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10914 7660 101 575 187 0 0 0
OW 62 451 21 302 407 6 0 0
VODI 0 39 25 344 1907 244 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 1631 2465 373 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 105 3794 465 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11271 7628 76 364 53 0 0 0
OW 0 256 44 470 187 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 7 365 1101 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 2250 2634 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 89 4581 665 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11241 7512 84 550 315 8 0 0
OW 30 343 24 324 381 48 0 0
VODI 0 36 19 324 1959 698 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 997 3126 493 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 28 3335 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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