Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7358 7609 150 833 153 0 0 0
OW 0 392 74 703 146 4 0 0
VODI 0 25 31 900 1066 16 0 0
ODI 0 19 0 46 1625 1851 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 4 646 10964 1914 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 260 8404 668 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7501 7787 129 846 136 0 0 0
OW 0 476 59 567 119 4 0 0
VODI 0 49 38 922 1209 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 1315 2585 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1527 10705 1001 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 126 4791 3775 134
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7647 8225 122 646 105 0 0 0
OW 0 281 58 402 88 1 0 0
VODI 0 36 31 1084 445 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 227 2495 513 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 1983 11649 1884 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 316 3785 3730 32
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8138 8037 121 595 84 0 0 0
OW 0 280 75 410 127 1 0 0
VODI 0 49 18 1156 615 6 0 0
ODI 0 14 2 149 3155 154 0 0
CDI 0 8 3 46 3466 10191 3329 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 301 1611 3655 64
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8138 8065 131 630 122 0 0 0
OW 0 231 60 385 102 3 0 0
VODI 0 70 23 1149 657 4 0 0
ODI 0 14 1 146 3179 492 0 0
CDI 0 8 4 46 3387 9774 3128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 301 1690 3856 64

Date: 2020-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8533 7670 101 614 251 0 0 0
OW 0 322 71 426 166 5 0 0
VODI 0 56 28 1042 798 2 0 0
ODI 0 32 1 92 3229 833 0 0
CDI 0 71 0 44 4146 10641 2751 0
VCDI 0 34 2 39 377 1904 1585 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8533 7705 113 677 293 3 0 0
OW 0 253 44 345 147 2 0 0
VODI 0 87 43 1064 823 4 0 0
ODI 0 28 1 92 3343 1424 0 0
CDI 0 75 0 41 3979 9874 2497 0
VCDI 0 37 2 38 382 2078 1839 0

Date: 2020-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8961 7678 123 605 69 0 0 0
OW 0 274 79 329 112 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 25 1117 563 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 3 65 6804 383 0 0
CDI 0 16 0 11 2481 12810 845 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 270 1256 859 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8961 7635 135 692 161 0 0 0
OW 0 259 49 381 230 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 42 961 871 1 0 0
ODI 0 24 0 81 4537 1251 0 0
CDI 0 37 4 6 4110 11737 1504 0
VCDI 0 1 0 8 390 1460 200 0

Date: 2020-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10751 6404 115 472 69 0 0 0
OW 0 466 51 529 168 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 20 644 913 4 0 0
ODI 0 14 0 86 7998 232 0 0
CDI 0 12 3 28 2681 12263 767 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 292 339 433 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10751 6236 103 514 191 0 0 0
OW 0 274 46 463 268 0 0 0
VODI 0 439 37 605 1038 2 0 0
ODI 0 30 0 145 6141 385 0 0
CDI 0 25 2 17 4129 12308 1200 0
VCDI 0 1 1 18 354 143 0 0

Date: 2020-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11638 5793 118 593 44 0 0 0
OW 0 434 36 620 219 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 14 675 1098 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 92 8190 381 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 21 2077 12052 1126 0
VCDI 0 1 0 16 238 210 84 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11638 5580 108 619 135 0 0 0
OW 0 248 36 639 244 0 0 0
VODI 0 439 22 540 1278 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 2 179 6473 660 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 18 3511 11977 1210 0
VCDI 0 1 0 22 225 6 0 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 11:00:16 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy