Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86592 9766 121 706 75 1 0 0
OW 35 229 43 491 331 19 0 0
VODI 0 29 5 315 907 198 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 749 1404 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 108 3333 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3374 216 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86861 9996 107 681 95 1 0 0
OW 4 205 36 580 394 22 0 0
VODI 0 31 4 271 844 418 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 579 1485 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 157 3335 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2900 87 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88244 8995 88 571 71 1 0 0
OW 0 144 36 490 129 9 0 0
VODI 0 17 1 295 536 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 977 322 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 248 6103 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1579 114 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88588 8976 90 444 53 0 0 0
OW 0 180 42 485 142 2 0 0
VODI 0 15 3 265 613 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 757 518 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 299 6345 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1120 49 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88588 9009 97 429 63 0 0 0
OW 0 140 31 468 116 2 0 0
VODI 0 22 7 286 589 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 781 708 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 315 6180 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1096 35 0

Date: 2020-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89177 8681 78 403 70 3 0 0
OW 0 187 44 437 128 1 0 0
VODI 0 13 7 218 658 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 780 675 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 264 6439 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 761 42 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89177 8687 82 421 73 3 0 0
OW 0 173 35 432 118 1 0 0
VODI 0 21 12 201 657 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 749 1055 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 303 5995 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 801 45 0

Date: 2020-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89039 9139 79 275 89 6 0 0
OW 0 139 47 308 27 3 0 0
VODI 0 5 8 309 230 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 1160 221 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 205 7206 148 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 390 41 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89039 9129 95 401 109 12 0 0
OW 0 133 26 301 141 22 0 0
VODI 0 21 13 182 644 156 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 548 1681 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 269 5331 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 641 66 0

Date: 2020-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89781 8476 71 342 89 0 0 0
OW 0 85 24 324 73 10 0 0
VODI 0 7 2 148 421 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 788 638 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 183 7091 486 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89781 8456 72 450 124 11 0 0
OW 0 96 20 261 242 30 0 0
VODI 0 16 5 93 627 326 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 336 2095 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 225 4946 303 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 357 183 0

Date: 2020-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90279 8147 61 335 49 0 0 0
OW 3 128 32 256 84 10 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 183 461 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 632 945 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 243 4164 3025 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90282 8203 69 410 90 11 0 0
OW 0 73 24 283 266 20 0 0
VODI 0 5 1 71 655 388 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 209 1777 564 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 249 2947 2135 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 326 0


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