Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4923 7188 101 437 44 0 0 0
OW 1 637 84 899 185 6 0 0
VODI 0 93 30 1070 2620 50 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 24 1916 4236 0 0
CDI 1 0 0 5 31 5122 694 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1262 412 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5017 7710 88 349 38 0 0 0
OW 7 841 88 1148 267 1 0 0
VODI 0 211 32 912 2840 545 0 0
ODI 1 5 1 31 1190 4880 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 12 3331 1223 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 678 603 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6223 8012 127 383 27 0 0 0
OW 1 424 67 859 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 19 1169 1056 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 2574 1121 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 106 6982 960 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 488 1232 54
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6482 8416 85 341 51 0 0 0
OW 0 691 79 702 92 1 0 0
VODI 1 124 55 1324 1169 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 1903 2596 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 2 5821 1093 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 497 466 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6482 8574 107 557 77 0 0 0
OW 0 543 75 671 143 4 0 0
VODI 1 114 37 1079 1089 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 1846 2030 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 62 6187 848 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 663 689 0

Date: 2020-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6709 8843 71 240 54 0 0 0
OW 0 905 92 650 96 11 0 0
VODI 1 190 64 1333 1293 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 48 1546 3403 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 0 5028 994 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 362 90 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6709 9164 103 480 104 2 0 0
OW 1 553 68 545 138 12 0 0
VODI 0 220 56 1096 1074 187 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 134 1651 2704 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 18 22 5467 966 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 0 486 117 0

Date: 2020-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7766 9193 72 277 18 0 0 0
OW 2 670 80 556 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 42 1263 764 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 2206 705 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 48 8007 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 62 1 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7742 8857 75 442 86 0 0 0
OW 26 656 65 496 180 6 0 0
VODI 0 431 54 1005 1146 300 0 0
ODI 0 26 0 171 1659 2990 51 0
CDI 0 13 0 0 21 5181 104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 299 0 0

Date: 2020-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8785 9050 88 327 8 0 0 0
OW 1 563 72 652 112 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 30 1015 885 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 1995 1523 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 210 5346 1322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8742 8561 86 491 99 4 0 0
OW 32 673 55 431 324 13 0 0
VODI 12 450 49 953 1441 366 0 0
ODI 0 22 0 121 1341 3372 106 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 5 3116 1216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2020-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9082 8959 93 386 28 0 0 0
OW 0 632 87 661 213 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 23 656 996 65 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 1935 2079 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 132 5244 701 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9035 8392 105 553 264 12 0 0
OW 47 690 47 441 386 25 0 0
VODI 0 590 48 647 1573 649 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 63 1081 3857 140 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 2845 585 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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