Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84131 10115 101 907 222 8 0 0
OW 0 177 61 478 422 12 0 0
VODI 0 15 7 464 933 80 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 112 1360 496 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 428 2634 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5725 198 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84320 10280 112 963 162 6 0 0
OW 0 229 56 499 434 20 0 0
VODI 0 38 11 493 934 108 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 150 1357 352 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 447 2670 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 228 4535 640 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84809 10416 104 816 106 1 0 0
OW 0 296 70 525 246 4 0 0
VODI 0 38 6 458 872 25 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 83 1416 585 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 589 3335 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3463 790 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86263 9783 100 710 26 1 0 0
OW 0 427 50 490 203 10 0 0
VODI 0 39 14 448 871 67 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 992 1220 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 113 3273 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3176 750 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86263 9892 111 709 64 1 0 0
OW 0 312 36 459 208 6 0 0
VODI 0 41 17 477 787 42 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 42 1017 1238 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 129 3165 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3295 727 0

Date: 2020-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86570 10042 103 689 87 2 0 0
OW 16 210 41 559 356 17 0 0
VODI 0 28 5 215 1048 225 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 567 1567 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 131 3449 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3144 15 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86582 10099 121 769 151 6 0 0
OW 4 155 23 463 287 12 0 0
VODI 0 25 5 229 1013 279 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 6 597 1556 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 141 3229 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3322 15 0

Date: 2020-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87779 9320 89 428 132 0 0 0
OW 0 197 46 384 191 3 0 0
VODI 0 31 7 407 408 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 1219 161 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 197 5681 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1968 358 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87779 9352 113 574 351 7 0 0
OW 0 166 23 412 334 24 0 0
VODI 0 30 5 248 815 655 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 7 472 1533 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 172 3050 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2563 365 0

Date: 2020-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88032 9295 96 535 93 0 0 0
OW 0 192 41 507 114 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 1 300 574 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 941 327 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 311 6008 342 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1012 353 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88032 9262 115 770 250 5 0 0
OW 0 219 21 402 345 118 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 174 803 985 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 406 1297 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 229 3513 293 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1437 402 0

Date: 2020-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88857 8858 86 407 56 0 0 0
OW 0 182 36 466 124 3 0 0
VODI 0 25 6 221 661 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 748 601 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 261 6491 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 981 2 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88857 8815 107 706 257 12 0 0
OW 0 235 19 289 339 231 0 0
VODI 0 15 2 100 737 1242 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 271 1230 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 246 3832 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1551 2 0


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