Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4159 5348 54 224 12 0 0 0
OW 1 587 81 750 107 2 0 0
VODI 0 157 55 962 1010 31 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 224 4031 1514 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1563 5522 492 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 1683 3273 231 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4498 5217 62 236 8 0 0 0
OW 2 966 106 692 166 0 0 0
VODI 0 331 56 848 1270 111 0 0
ODI 0 43 13 379 4173 2700 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 1339 4427 227 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 676 3498 25 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4419 6966 121 394 28 0 0 0
OW 0 416 82 795 133 1 0 0
VODI 0 42 20 901 1412 15 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 24 3926 2003 0 0
CDI 1 1 1 4 1112 6133 559 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2313 251 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4845 7034 106 434 54 0 0 0
OW 1 554 91 786 180 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 27 1066 2213 12 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 32 2741 3412 0 0
CDI 1 1 0 3 45 5972 403 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1728 244 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4845 7085 103 505 85 0 0 0
OW 1 485 92 678 190 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 31 1096 1779 107 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 39 3080 2761 0 0
CDI 1 0 0 3 99 6463 357 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1793 290 0

Date: 2020-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4815 7592 95 379 46 0 0 0
OW 2 767 80 1016 187 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 36 981 2766 248 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 34 1294 5070 5 0
CDI 1 0 0 10 21 3654 1376 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 943 503 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4817 7638 100 463 71 0 0 0
OW 0 712 83 870 208 3 0 0
VODI 0 167 28 1037 2657 520 4 0
ODI 1 3 0 40 1345 3940 119 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 33 4494 1193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 958 568 0

Date: 2020-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5583 8096 128 345 29 0 0 0
OW 1 463 87 858 99 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 5 1076 986 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 3326 331 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 81 7493 850 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 530 1549 73
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5576 7594 109 516 110 0 0 0
OW 8 821 85 1028 515 20 0 0
VODI 0 168 26 733 2609 1031 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 50 1279 4142 197 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 8 2619 1562 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 542 640 68

Date: 2020-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6431 8119 107 386 41 0 0 0
OW 1 548 77 781 87 0 0 0
VODI 1 81 34 1287 1092 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 2037 1949 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 55 5993 1500 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 403 886 77
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6398 7657 98 624 129 0 0 0
OW 23 943 93 1239 606 68 0 0
VODI 12 148 27 621 1974 1698 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 597 4250 407 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 6 1881 1476 50
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 458 503 43

Date: 2020-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6511 8732 67 269 56 0 0 0
OW 0 833 94 645 99 4 0 0
VODI 1 185 71 1416 1094 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 1815 2929 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 0 5526 979 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 471 155 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6486 8512 112 732 266 2 0 0
OW 19 1082 90 1130 629 178 0 0
VODI 7 156 30 481 1735 3259 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 434 2891 136 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 0 2017 842 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 626 156 0


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