Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81242 11494 182 1575 286 6 0 0
OW 6 29 20 558 622 22 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 133 1292 97 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 26 1109 448 1 0
CDI 0 1 3 71 853 1560 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 6062 1205 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82344 10681 172 1469 322 8 0 0
OW 5 76 26 494 766 29 0 0
VODI 0 13 1 137 1212 124 0 0
ODI 0 9 1 24 1077 563 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 81 640 1690 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 4190 2815 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82686 10832 170 1187 173 3 0 0
OW 4 120 29 514 381 12 1 0
VODI 0 8 6 262 953 46 2 0
ODI 0 6 3 74 1700 307 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 536 2170 353 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 4598 1924 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83772 10193 121 997 195 8 0 0
OW 0 126 43 569 402 17 0 0
VODI 0 13 7 331 1062 82 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 98 1417 454 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 413 2550 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5554 579 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83772 10237 129 1042 255 8 0 0
OW 0 81 32 516 339 9 0 0
VODI 0 16 11 320 956 91 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 120 1546 414 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 388 2310 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 5833 560 0

Date: 2020-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84331 10089 105 903 236 5 0 0
OW 0 192 56 481 431 8 0 0
VODI 0 17 10 468 1008 45 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 176 1505 279 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 1271 1734 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1110 4245 359 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84331 10157 126 963 268 3 0 0
OW 0 116 28 442 407 3 0 0
VODI 0 23 17 451 949 44 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 175 1585 275 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 1243 1644 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1109 4347 359 0

Date: 2020-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84543 10383 120 811 74 2 0 0
OW 0 230 54 521 156 6 0 0
VODI 0 45 9 600 725 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 102 1797 319 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 657 3481 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3859 567 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84543 10380 131 1010 235 2 0 0
OW 0 184 29 426 443 17 0 0
VODI 0 79 18 420 803 150 0 0
ODI 0 15 5 147 1160 467 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 504 2715 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 264 4344 569 0

Date: 2020-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85302 10272 102 771 101 1 0 0
OW 0 405 73 444 237 3 0 0
VODI 0 37 6 385 978 20 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 50 1160 924 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 105 3590 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3338 757 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85302 10165 128 931 335 1 0 0
OW 0 358 25 313 373 13 0 0
VODI 0 177 24 296 850 182 0 0
ODI 0 15 4 97 849 768 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 18 174 2766 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4146 770 0

Date: 2020-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86592 9766 121 706 75 1 0 0
OW 35 229 43 491 331 19 0 0
VODI 0 29 5 315 907 198 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 749 1404 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 108 3333 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3374 216 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86627 9506 117 819 350 23 0 0
OW 0 361 29 293 279 32 0 0
VODI 0 147 22 398 846 293 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 14 531 1233 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 164 2310 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4438 220 0


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