Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-06-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80684 11463 169 1165 324 10 0 0
OW 9 66 30 647 496 21 0 0
VODI 0 14 1 247 1285 99 8 0
ODI 0 7 1 35 712 496 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 341 2133 446 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 88 1008 2969 4058
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80626 11704 168 1254 385 17 0 0
OW 9 66 13 635 838 27 0 0
VODI 0 16 1 102 1207 152 1 0
ODI 0 4 1 36 671 526 8 0
CDI 0 1 0 65 804 1599 410 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 200 1040 4193 2321
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81813 10846 168 1161 299 16 0 0
OW 9 24 15 565 452 10 2 0
VODI 0 5 4 212 1070 28 1 0
ODI 0 1 3 30 1488 304 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 822 1983 63 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 59 1382 4668 1551
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81074 11659 174 1425 328 9 0 0
OW 6 32 18 634 525 19 0 0
VODI 0 5 3 149 1218 84 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 25 1184 388 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 75 1081 1530 104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 3728 3478 90
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81074 11661 173 1542 319 12 0 0
OW 6 33 20 481 577 9 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 185 1027 97 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 25 1237 299 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 75 1175 1597 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 3744 3530 90

Date: 2020-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82029 10793 184 1553 302 5 0 0
OW 6 39 21 554 683 26 0 0
VODI 0 10 2 104 1317 98 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 23 1073 514 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 80 720 1679 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5769 1475 28
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82029 10801 192 1653 344 10 0 0
OW 6 36 15 424 672 13 0 0
VODI 0 7 1 139 1179 117 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 20 1151 426 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 78 749 1667 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5858 1475 28

Date: 2020-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82772 10559 154 1169 99 6 0 0
OW 6 107 35 561 257 9 0 0
VODI 0 12 1 319 845 42 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 78 1989 268 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 507 2242 188 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 68 4076 2702 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82778 10603 166 1480 379 11 0 0
OW 0 56 22 390 635 19 0 0
VODI 0 10 2 176 1075 150 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 24 1021 637 0 0
CDI 0 5 3 76 571 1823 311 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 84 4003 2579 0

Date: 2020-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83593 10099 142 1125 198 4 0 0
OW 0 104 33 550 429 11 2 0
VODI 0 10 3 212 1112 53 7 0
ODI 0 9 3 72 1438 478 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 39 495 1946 700 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5316 913 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83593 10147 155 1401 605 8 0 0
OW 0 45 19 369 626 33 4 0
VODI 0 10 3 117 1058 172 8 0
ODI 0 9 1 22 919 649 1 0
CDI 0 11 4 89 464 1965 733 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4981 879 0

Date: 2020-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84131 10115 101 907 222 8 0 0
OW 0 177 61 478 422 12 0 0
VODI 0 15 7 464 933 80 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 112 1360 496 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 428 2634 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5725 198 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84131 10188 141 1254 683 23 0 0
OW 0 109 20 335 521 47 0 0
VODI 0 10 8 244 812 198 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 70 956 451 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 392 3508 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 4728 180 0


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