Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-06-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 276 4731 112 681 57 1 0 0
OW 0 392 89 1298 306 23 0 0
VODI 0 40 17 1119 1551 128 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 123 1917 598 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 149 1733 3327 1705 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 332 2286 4771 4299
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 774 4633 135 888 69 1 0 0
OW 0 365 92 1605 429 48 0 0
VODI 0 25 14 673 1721 253 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 49 1468 1215 95 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 1260 3330 2627 19
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 1892 5939 2381
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 917 5372 132 849 84 1 0 0
OW 0 214 76 1098 257 18 0 0
VODI 0 9 10 692 1301 58 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 2064 952 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 269 6060 477 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2310 7441 1362
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 818 6228 132 750 88 1 0 0
OW 2 254 83 857 321 19 0 0
VODI 0 24 14 703 1530 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 1546 1338 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 166 6278 795 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2368 6983 665
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 818 6268 154 929 153 9 0 0
OW 2 205 60 752 310 22 0 0
VODI 0 33 15 613 1535 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 1540 1560 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 113 6019 592 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2394 7186 665

Date: 2020-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1061 6441 120 716 65 1 0 0
OW 2 280 90 867 393 30 0 0
VODI 0 39 17 704 1600 127 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 1898 1405 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 153 6733 875 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2042 4849 1540
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1061 6474 154 900 142 12 0 0
OW 2 226 53 736 362 29 0 0
VODI 0 60 20 661 1639 141 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 1762 1522 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 204 6574 786 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2060 4937 1540

Date: 2020-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2317 5724 95 530 57 1 0 0
OW 2 300 87 658 151 11 0 0
VODI 0 25 9 708 848 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 2374 543 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 195 8577 714 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 855 6603 662
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2318 5574 114 832 220 11 0 0
OW 1 394 54 554 541 23 0 0
VODI 0 79 23 507 1738 322 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 15 1036 2702 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 90 6130 1624 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 822 5685 662

Date: 2020-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3920 4942 57 365 46 5 0 0
OW 6 405 84 668 135 11 0 0
VODI 0 39 26 905 903 51 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 2974 676 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1214 7053 1114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1 2938 3364 137
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3921 4597 78 693 203 7 0 0
OW 5 569 50 561 513 42 0 0
VODI 0 199 37 633 1580 385 0 0
ODI 0 21 2 93 2021 2745 91 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 956 4879 1251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2676 3136 137

Date: 2020-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4159 5348 54 224 12 0 0 0
OW 1 587 81 750 107 2 0 0
VODI 0 157 55 962 1010 31 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 224 4031 1514 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1563 5522 492 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 1683 3273 231 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4159 5146 85 674 176 3 0 0
OW 1 638 63 689 567 14 0 0
VODI 0 311 45 633 1747 353 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 164 3068 2752 66 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1188 4278 484 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 1660 2942 173 0


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