Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-06-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80151 11778 157 1074 259 0 0 0
OW 19 104 38 586 248 8 0 0
VODI 0 17 4 367 1016 129 8 0
ODI 0 4 0 53 1026 475 88 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 551 1820 790 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 397 4585 3308
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79941 11947 153 1205 328 11 0 0
OW 16 134 44 526 334 48 1 0
VODI 0 22 4 352 1140 234 62 0
ODI 0 8 1 49 726 432 194 0
CDI 0 1 0 47 344 1492 1336 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 290 4189 3489
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79716 12284 164 1076 271 3 0 0
OW 16 77 31 554 249 21 0 0
VODI 0 13 5 341 1137 70 1 0
ODI 0 6 0 34 913 495 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 355 2241 576 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 885 4583 2921
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80323 11718 157 1198 305 8 0 0
OW 12 49 31 620 387 20 0 0
VODI 0 14 0 246 1292 155 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 29 638 520 19 0
CDI 0 1 0 48 281 2153 647 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1233 2721 4264
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80323 11642 148 1227 335 9 0 0
OW 12 127 39 518 346 16 0 0
VODI 0 12 1 313 1192 140 1 0
ODI 0 6 1 39 702 515 26 0
CDI 0 1 0 44 331 2256 676 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1153 2684 4264

Date: 2020-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80153 12033 180 1268 325 16 0 0
OW 9 51 15 740 655 17 5 0
VODI 0 15 0 181 1163 153 5 0
ODI 0 4 1 37 710 488 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 663 1805 420 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 145 1035 3804 2936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80153 11957 166 1315 360 16 1 0
OW 9 127 28 638 564 13 4 0
VODI 0 15 2 235 1170 124 5 0
ODI 0 4 0 45 743 481 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 709 1846 417 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 115 1034 3803 2936

Date: 2020-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81517 10924 166 1113 276 13 0 0
OW 9 24 20 530 315 9 3 0
VODI 0 9 5 252 1033 21 8 0
ODI 0 3 2 26 1663 206 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 851 2094 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 144 869 4475 2326
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81519 10805 164 1353 568 18 1 0
OW 7 131 21 424 962 18 5 0
VODI 0 14 4 103 1163 145 18 0
ODI 0 10 3 32 599 592 14 0
CDI 0 0 1 66 831 1539 354 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 159 900 4231 2319

Date: 2020-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81124 11633 179 1262 288 12 0 0
OW 7 40 17 661 455 18 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 205 1115 58 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 27 1373 276 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 933 1709 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2094 4565 840
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81125 11531 173 1684 702 30 0 0
OW 6 125 22 331 883 31 0 0
VODI 0 18 2 97 941 163 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 41 636 691 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 1002 1518 145 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1734 4546 840

Date: 2020-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81242 11494 182 1575 286 6 0 0
OW 6 29 20 558 622 22 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 133 1292 97 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 26 1109 448 1 0
CDI 0 1 3 71 853 1560 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 6062 1205 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81247 11413 187 1952 969 46 0 0
OW 1 97 12 230 927 29 0 0
VODI 0 16 3 66 799 191 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 37 570 800 0 0
CDI 0 3 4 78 895 1984 190 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 5145 1193 0


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