Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-06-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79 3553 83 382 66 1 0 0
OW 0 150 62 828 324 1 0 0
VODI 0 8 4 386 1541 78 5 3
ODI 0 1 2 109 1535 969 29 1
CDI 0 0 0 209 621 3082 748 3
VCDI 0 0 0 59 211 1434 9283 6232
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 566 3330 85 476 75 1 0 0
OW 0 250 55 915 322 1 1 0
VODI 0 30 8 492 1920 98 5 0
ODI 0 3 2 88 1424 844 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 320 741 3372 837 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 238 3195 9044 3312
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 708 3654 113 491 21 1 0 0
OW 0 280 77 894 123 0 1 0
VODI 0 13 8 1146 1398 5 5 0
ODI 0 1 0 273 2289 266 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 265 2156 3086 817 0
VCDI 0 1 0 24 248 2785 6553 4376
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 342 4385 102 613 78 1 0 0
OW 0 369 98 1135 246 6 0 0
VODI 0 26 13 1174 1541 125 3 0
ODI 0 1 0 150 1998 476 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 176 2046 3015 1450 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 318 2678 5392 4104
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 342 4509 131 923 107 2 0 0
OW 0 226 61 890 286 8 1 0
VODI 0 45 20 1084 1563 134 3 0
ODI 0 1 1 171 1747 613 67 0
CDI 0 0 0 182 2238 2845 1502 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 286 2699 5287 4104

Date: 2020-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 324 4932 131 752 39 5 0 0
OW 0 391 95 1499 338 49 0 0
VODI 0 31 18 1058 1482 184 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 119 1656 880 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 131 1768 3141 2038 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 187 1375 4816 4608
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 324 5055 172 1208 78 13 0 0
OW 0 252 48 1159 388 46 0 0
VODI 0 46 25 924 1475 212 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 134 1440 1085 127 0
CDI 0 0 0 134 1944 2862 1796 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 145 1416 4954 4608

Date: 2020-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 823 5178 142 637 38 0 0 0
OW 0 251 94 1201 136 3 0 0
VODI 0 7 5 981 931 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 2708 452 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 199 5921 665 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1734 7931 1943
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 823 5118 171 1318 200 16 0 0
OW 0 282 50 913 528 55 0 0
VODI 0 36 20 588 1761 402 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 1091 1380 357 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 432 4417 2168 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1877 6071 1941

Date: 2020-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 758 5987 145 798 62 2 0 0
OW 0 306 92 913 277 25 0 0
VODI 0 17 11 714 1380 68 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 1656 1205 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 233 6161 630 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2373 7086 1126
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 758 5917 176 1275 380 54 0 0
OW 0 332 52 716 694 102 0 0
VODI 0 61 20 438 1622 618 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 680 1934 154 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 232 5278 2091 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 1848 5471 1126

Date: 2020-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 837 6416 138 719 81 2 0 0
OW 2 237 87 855 343 23 0 0
VODI 0 20 16 652 1647 118 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 1452 1583 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 188 6483 1049 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2496 5146 1470
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 838 6259 174 1239 536 37 0 0
OW 1 375 55 691 889 106 0 0
VODI 0 39 12 297 1445 1025 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 666 2088 380 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 174 5778 2355 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1 1671 3444 1470


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