Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-06-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78492 12458 161 1281 489 6 0 0
OW 25 177 44 386 352 15 3 0
VODI 0 28 11 359 860 144 25 0
ODI 0 5 1 61 692 1124 100 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 230 1148 1844 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 24 2926 5608
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79012 12367 157 1183 424 6 0 0
OW 23 202 39 360 456 26 5 0
VODI 0 38 20 298 918 362 49 0
ODI 0 2 1 38 504 1091 272 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 127 744 2193 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 28 3806 4318
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79672 12152 136 903 325 0 0 0
OW 24 135 54 508 177 10 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 361 683 44 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 937 680 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 383 1729 693 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2416 4187 2789
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79740 12150 147 969 266 0 0 0
OW 20 112 46 598 219 9 0 0
VODI 0 16 5 323 916 106 7 0
ODI 0 0 3 37 973 661 78 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 518 1608 937 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1085 4517 2988
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79740 12159 152 1056 278 0 0 0
OW 20 102 38 518 194 5 0 0
VODI 0 17 8 310 937 129 2 0
ODI 0 0 3 43 925 532 57 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 558 1716 866 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1087 4614 2988

Date: 2020-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80079 11865 146 1149 282 1 0 0
OW 18 112 46 537 303 27 1 0
VODI 0 20 3 336 1134 212 16 0
ODI 0 6 0 46 836 490 145 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 416 1558 1179 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 155 4305 3639
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80079 11878 156 1201 287 1 0 0
OW 18 101 35 485 256 28 0 0
VODI 0 19 4 329 1061 151 13 0
ODI 0 5 0 53 933 516 90 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 434 1616 1251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 131 4292 3639

Date: 2020-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80194 11806 141 922 343 1 0 0
OW 18 103 52 470 193 13 0 0
VODI 0 10 4 418 786 49 2 0
ODI 0 2 0 39 1444 266 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 369 2125 744 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 658 4471 3407
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80197 11786 163 1054 482 20 0 0
OW 15 101 30 468 425 60 2 0
VODI 0 23 2 256 1184 194 46 0
ODI 0 10 2 61 648 505 127 0
CDI 0 1 0 41 396 1739 1308 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 594 3753 3407

Date: 2020-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80320 11686 150 1133 299 5 0 0
OW 12 66 36 594 303 22 0 0
VODI 0 12 0 299 1297 100 1 0
ODI 0 5 1 30 741 502 15 0
CDI 0 1 0 41 329 2071 713 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1315 2987 4014
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80321 11639 156 1231 493 44 0 0
OW 11 88 28 574 614 119 2 0
VODI 0 26 2 196 1112 237 31 0
ODI 0 14 1 48 413 601 113 0
CDI 0 3 0 48 337 1954 1011 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1060 2559 4014

Date: 2020-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80684 11463 169 1165 324 10 0 0
OW 9 66 30 647 496 21 0 0
VODI 0 14 1 247 1285 99 8 0
ODI 0 7 1 35 712 496 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 341 2133 446 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 88 1008 2969 4058
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80684 11377 160 1351 746 85 0 0
OW 9 128 36 497 681 97 2 0
VODI 0 28 2 192 944 211 27 0
ODI 0 13 2 43 402 612 86 0
CDI 0 4 1 65 452 2082 458 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 680 2864 4058


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