Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-06-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 2654 64 323 38 8 0 0
OW 0 111 43 564 267 12 3 0
VODI 0 14 2 234 1059 139 18 0
ODI 0 4 0 64 916 1229 63 0
CDI 0 0 1 44 520 2579 2100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 133 1383 12123 5318
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86 2883 75 306 71 3 0 0
OW 0 142 48 616 355 11 1 0
VODI 0 25 5 266 1275 328 8 0
ODI 0 19 3 50 832 1492 173 1
CDI 0 7 4 45 536 2548 1726 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 401 1385 9194 7161
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 181 3325 94 264 25 1 0 0
OW 0 104 54 690 165 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 470 998 14 6 0
ODI 0 5 0 49 1814 419 13 0
CDI 0 4 0 4 879 3253 491 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 197 2329 8202 8024
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 193 3376 88 351 56 1 0 0
OW 0 103 46 752 294 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 325 1435 49 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 1616 923 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 704 3118 892 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 251 1100 8190 8138
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 193 3377 89 571 101 1 0 0
OW 0 95 42 543 324 1 0 0
VODI 0 8 5 301 1482 62 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 1378 1004 52 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 801 2879 881 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 270 1245 8166 8138

Date: 2020-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107 3637 79 475 63 1 0 0
OW 0 226 54 879 290 0 1 0
VODI 0 16 9 427 1708 114 6 0
ODI 0 0 2 94 1428 955 21 1
CDI 0 0 0 308 687 3188 871 1
VCDI 0 0 0 45 136 2441 9208 4604
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107 3696 107 777 97 1 0 0
OW 0 151 25 629 336 1 2 0
VODI 0 32 9 360 1716 143 5 0
ODI 0 0 3 91 1238 966 67 1
CDI 0 0 0 317 783 3094 818 1
VCDI 0 0 0 54 142 2494 9215 4604

Date: 2020-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 642 3498 84 431 54 1 0 0
OW 0 205 71 801 103 0 0 1
VODI 0 11 8 818 1340 6 3 2
ODI 0 0 0 201 2623 370 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 147 858 4432 601 1
VCDI 0 1 0 2 91 2741 6881 5050
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 642 3477 122 882 138 1 0 1
OW 0 157 27 617 486 1 3 1
VODI 0 69 12 455 1917 176 1 1
ODI 0 11 2 88 1104 977 106 1
CDI 0 0 0 356 1179 3130 1186 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 245 3265 6193 5050

Date: 2020-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 326 4227 97 524 72 1 0 0
OW 0 325 93 933 189 1 0 0
VODI 0 16 12 1248 1554 30 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 170 2126 348 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 184 2438 3028 788 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 760 3654 6710 2215
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 326 4231 138 982 238 3 1 0
OW 0 213 35 859 661 16 3 0
VODI 0 90 17 654 1454 320 7 0
ODI 0 32 11 211 1103 1152 96 0
CDI 0 2 1 349 2594 2008 1252 0
VCDI 0 1 0 7 1089 3563 6148 2215

Date: 2020-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 276 4731 112 681 57 1 0 0
OW 0 392 89 1298 306 23 0 0
VODI 0 40 17 1119 1551 128 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 123 1917 598 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 149 1733 3327 1705 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 332 2286 4771 4299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 276 4611 144 1413 376 9 0 0
OW 0 315 36 792 552 55 0 0
VODI 0 161 20 710 1235 420 25 0
ODI 0 70 17 209 1012 1212 508 0
CDI 0 10 3 232 2203 2362 2013 81
VCDI 0 0 0 14 518 2305 3945 4218


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