Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2020-06-04

Model: ARC MFC - TOPAZ

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-06-08

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 110 8 43 16 0 0 0
OW 0 4 2 39 23 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 33 97 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 140 51 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 86 924 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1227 8210 25645
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 8 53 29 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 36 39 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 89 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 111 117 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 97 921 775 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1124 7629 25645

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 1 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 1 3 11 9 1 0
ODI 0 21 4 61 64 36 1 0
CDI 0 2 0 0 9 61 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 85 438 2246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 4 3 4 1 0 0
VODI 0 17 3 3 24 26 2 0
ODI 0 16 1 30 34 43 6 0
CDI 0 11 3 30 20 34 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 87 391 2246

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 4 48 33 4 0 0
OW 0 45 11 47 19 1 0 0
VODI 0 16 9 129 17 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 77 212 52 3 0
CDI 0 5 3 74 177 737 99 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 37 808 3124 4132
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 45 33 4 0 0
OW 0 25 9 29 18 3 0 0
VODI 0 52 6 42 34 50 4 0
ODI 0 19 8 96 85 64 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 232 511 203 0
VCDI 0 5 3 86 93 980 2996 4132

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51 917 2 11 1 0 0 0
OW 12 187 10 24 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 19 142 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 163 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 96 629 145 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 103 2283 750
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 936 4 13 1 0 0 0
OW 11 120 12 30 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 7 90 48 4 0 0
ODI 0 17 6 51 85 35 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 27 146 633 761 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 63 1667 750

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 186 6 40 29 0 0 0
OW 0 75 14 138 29 1 0 0
VODI 0 7 2 190 203 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 502 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 266 1217 259 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 165 3007 778
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 185 10 82 48 0 0 0
OW 0 36 7 97 40 9 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 115 185 8 0 0
ODI 0 14 2 54 328 146 17 0
CDI 0 14 1 69 400 1069 499 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 32 218 2750 778

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 400 29 67 5 0 0 0
OW 0 11 11 140 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 88 243 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 644 125 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 423 1231 238 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 188 135 1198 94
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 380 33 169 90 0 0 0
OW 0 26 5 91 182 11 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 27 376 273 34 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 281 624 156 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 207 535 828 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 411 53 418 94

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 2102 55 133 8 1 0 0
OW 0 41 17 315 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 165 458 3 3 3
ODI 0 0 0 0 589 291 6 2
CDI 0 0 0 0 24 726 58 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 26 1228 7
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 2101 43 223 39 1 0 0
OW 0 41 27 251 154 4 1 0
VODI 0 1 2 139 639 223 7 3
ODI 0 0 0 0 270 544 69 2
CDI 0 0 0 0 13 261 513 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 14 705 6

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6722 3273 55 203 12 0 0 0
OW 0 7 7 164 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 83 246 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 231 113 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2 177 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6722 3275 58 255 18 0 0 0
OW 0 5 4 149 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 46 371 103 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 30 188 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5368 2875 24 234 97 0 0 0
OW 0 55 11 96 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 2 127 107 6 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 269 56 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 133 815 137 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 78 1109 3
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5368 2905 30 304 135 0 0 0
OW 0 26 5 110 107 7 1 0
VODI 0 9 2 49 193 138 15 0
ODI 0 2 0 17 156 395 90 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 62 415 1109 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 43 0

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10153 2311 20 189 93 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 37 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 66 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 69 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10153 2311 20 233 171 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 40 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1959 35 215 32 0 0 0
OW 0 91 22 119 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 152 240 2 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 643 202 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 1151 134 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 79 637 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1905 42 288 199 0 0 0
OW 0 118 8 46 232 16 1 0
VODI 0 29 10 141 331 254 14 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 208 483 74 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 652 332 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 29 363 0

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1167 66 406 64 1 0 0
OW 0 20 12 265 139 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 92 404 37 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 388 248 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 91 658 146 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 110 260 3746 222
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1171 72 548 193 11 0 0
OW 0 16 6 170 349 50 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 41 320 278 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 114 309 119 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 90 330 720 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 130 241 3053 220

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15363 2996 49 533 171 1 0 0
OW 0 30 16 101 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 5 72 130 5 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 108 69 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4 148 99 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 22 207 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15363 3018 59 623 222 5 0 0
OW 0 10 11 58 128 14 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 26 110 117 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 22 67 119 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 32 158 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 10 26 0


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