Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-06-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76499 13449 214 1473 773 54 0 0
OW 30 25 6 432 545 64 6 0
VODI 0 7 4 122 927 228 38 0
ODI 0 4 2 49 462 1231 164 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 362 1934 1444 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 249 3271 5008
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77300 12922 219 1514 771 44 0 0
OW 29 38 9 401 580 82 9 0
VODI 0 14 2 120 852 540 57 0
ODI 0 5 3 47 347 1285 277 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 351 1448 1792 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 2285 5727
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78210 12074 203 1427 696 16 0 0
OW 29 64 15 427 350 35 1 0
VODI 0 32 6 207 733 80 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 59 841 616 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 357 2210 1360 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 71 3136 5781
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78099 12667 177 1294 514 1 0 0
OW 28 152 44 386 337 27 2 0
VODI 0 27 9 314 795 123 20 0
ODI 0 3 1 64 688 1106 102 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 286 1355 1848 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 48 2626 5936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78099 12690 189 1341 532 4 0 0
OW 28 135 31 336 299 17 3 0
VODI 0 21 11 320 692 153 17 0
ODI 0 3 0 64 793 805 85 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 304 1625 1878 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 56 2615 5936

Date: 2020-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78627 12502 158 1277 458 8 0 0
OW 24 187 41 370 396 17 6 0
VODI 0 26 11 356 918 211 34 0
ODI 0 3 1 56 612 1117 158 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 145 915 2107 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 2693 5628
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78627 12531 168 1317 496 11 2 0
OW 24 151 30 342 307 14 6 0
VODI 0 33 12 335 904 163 34 0
ODI 0 3 1 70 678 976 132 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 144 1092 2085 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 17 2739 5628

Date: 2020-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79360 12266 152 956 307 1 0 0
OW 28 181 54 446 161 2 0 0
VODI 0 16 10 446 606 18 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 1158 340 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 216 2216 258 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 432 5634 3752
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79368 12293 175 1178 472 1 0 0
OW 20 133 29 380 392 29 2 0
VODI 0 35 12 286 927 408 24 0
ODI 0 2 0 42 513 1014 190 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 144 1254 1746 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 303 3952 3749

Date: 2020-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79281 12613 142 914 275 0 0 0
OW 23 104 53 555 229 2 0 0
VODI 0 10 4 327 778 62 2 0
ODI 0 1 2 39 793 865 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 407 1450 1109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 852 5005 3109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79286 12541 152 1187 457 2 0 0
OW 18 156 31 350 600 109 2 0
VODI 0 31 18 250 757 736 76 0
ODI 0 0 0 54 417 825 416 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 251 1067 1675 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 492 3992 3109

Date: 2020-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80151 11778 157 1074 259 0 0 0
OW 19 104 38 586 248 8 0 0
VODI 0 17 4 367 1016 129 8 0
ODI 0 4 0 53 1026 475 88 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 551 1820 790 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 397 4585 3308
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80155 11668 163 1432 679 18 1 0
OW 15 177 22 307 748 171 28 0
VODI 0 58 12 265 998 310 166 0
ODI 0 0 2 78 442 760 247 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 240 1360 1425 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 210 3604 3308


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