Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-05-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76526 12898 173 1288 543 26 0 0
OW 50 94 21 470 556 70 11 0
VODI 0 44 8 146 1002 209 31 0
ODI 0 11 11 71 413 624 129 0
CDI 0 0 1 67 513 2221 1115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 883 4997 3872
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76239 13326 175 1496 603 14 2 0
OW 50 117 18 319 741 91 27 0
VODI 0 44 10 151 730 328 74 0
ODI 0 2 7 80 450 575 323 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 600 2183 594 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 1028 6651 1965
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76719 13180 176 1390 550 19 0 0
OW 49 36 28 487 353 29 2 0
VODI 0 0 1 236 805 87 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 897 376 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 460 2780 621 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 814 7341 1543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76580 13369 212 1504 652 35 0 0
OW 32 25 10 467 497 71 1 0
VODI 0 7 2 132 895 151 38 0
ODI 0 0 2 42 596 1017 105 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 395 2118 1247 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 306 4680 3888
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76580 13374 209 1552 697 30 0 0
OW 32 18 13 395 487 62 2 0
VODI 0 9 2 153 855 160 34 0
ODI 0 0 2 44 580 924 128 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 414 2069 1229 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 453 4678 3888

Date: 2020-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77208 12903 218 1566 666 26 0 0
OW 29 40 6 429 566 63 5 0
VODI 0 16 2 106 981 279 40 0
ODI 0 3 2 43 436 1310 184 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 333 1932 1486 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 110 2348 5743
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77208 12909 215 1614 729 35 1 0
OW 29 36 9 376 569 40 5 0
VODI 0 13 2 110 920 355 40 0
ODI 0 4 2 42 409 1114 161 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 355 2047 1374 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 129 2482 5743

Date: 2020-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77137 13055 222 1439 589 12 0 0
OW 32 47 14 436 331 30 1 0
VODI 0 22 7 255 661 67 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 1055 324 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 427 2751 734 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 89 3614 5666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77141 13069 229 1674 898 51 1 0
OW 28 35 9 332 646 129 7 0
VODI 0 15 1 110 789 767 73 0
ODI 0 5 4 42 347 935 226 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 383 1375 1765 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 16 2309 5666

Date: 2020-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77884 12547 204 1320 687 21 0 0
OW 29 77 24 442 338 37 3 0
VODI 0 28 3 228 805 95 17 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 759 878 68 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 322 2014 1445 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 48 2829 5877
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77889 12560 206 1571 1066 155 5 0
OW 24 57 19 282 592 265 23 0
VODI 0 32 4 119 684 774 163 0
ODI 0 3 2 70 271 799 336 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 298 1100 2160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1675 5877

Date: 2020-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78492 12458 161 1281 489 6 0 0
OW 25 177 44 386 352 15 3 0
VODI 0 28 11 359 860 144 25 0
ODI 0 5 1 61 692 1124 100 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 230 1148 1844 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 24 2926 5608
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78497 12494 187 1527 1013 189 10 0
OW 20 126 21 309 487 274 40 0
VODI 0 42 7 162 622 682 187 0
ODI 0 6 2 87 258 754 420 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 243 556 2355 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 6 1886 5608


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