Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-05-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74399 14093 153 984 422 47 2 0
OW 58 321 36 286 364 100 14 0
VODI 0 201 32 299 666 138 107 0
ODI 0 70 13 243 579 222 134 0
CDI 0 37 10 105 836 838 481 0
VCDI 0 0 6 64 420 1714 6409 4197
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74744 14044 161 947 452 92 8 0
OW 53 393 33 241 352 120 64 0
VODI 0 281 25 282 633 158 164 0
ODI 0 83 16 249 468 252 181 0
CDI 0 36 15 125 787 1018 750 4
VCDI 0 0 0 34 179 1125 6167 4364
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74789 14400 169 1010 411 41 1 0
OW 51 275 41 381 320 57 11 0
VODI 0 61 9 287 945 142 20 0
ODI 0 25 5 60 707 398 58 0
CDI 0 2 5 87 447 1758 990 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 852 5451 4787
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76806 12588 161 1190 479 28 0 0
OW 50 129 24 443 539 73 9 0
VODI 0 42 12 166 996 230 21 0
ODI 0 10 8 64 458 547 76 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 560 2142 1043 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1022 4913 4187
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76806 12590 160 1279 544 31 2 0
OW 50 132 26 339 520 74 6 0
VODI 0 43 11 179 913 235 13 0
ODI 0 4 8 62 488 537 76 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 570 2141 1001 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1024 4964 4187

Date: 2020-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76210 13273 182 1462 524 25 0 0
OW 50 104 23 372 617 66 19 0
VODI 0 46 10 159 909 257 43 0
ODI 0 2 6 88 405 632 225 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 481 2423 700 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 811 4619 4287
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76210 13264 186 1573 571 28 2 0
OW 50 120 18 259 605 67 14 0
VODI 0 40 15 161 875 250 37 0
ODI 0 1 2 92 413 670 155 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 470 2383 732 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 816 4666 4287

Date: 2020-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76461 13243 182 1240 522 18 0 0
OW 50 110 28 443 334 20 2 0
VODI 0 3 9 269 709 80 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 962 317 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 490 2719 624 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 1263 7324 1563
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76476 13166 176 1536 868 64 9 0
OW 35 134 26 152 702 173 29 0
VODI 0 51 14 185 498 369 72 0
ODI 0 5 3 86 440 703 252 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 418 1814 926 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 109 1294 6702 1563

Date: 2020-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76995 13054 194 1458 497 24 0 0
OW 35 30 18 493 427 48 2 0
VODI 0 1 3 197 834 114 32 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 748 639 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 465 2357 1050 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1028 4248 3972
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76999 12930 174 1695 979 86 32 0
OW 31 108 25 192 610 141 40 0
VODI 0 41 12 182 487 417 110 0
ODI 0 6 4 78 367 1016 285 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 460 1538 904 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 89 1012 4024 3972

Date: 2020-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76499 13449 214 1473 773 54 0 0
OW 30 25 6 432 545 64 6 0
VODI 0 7 4 122 927 228 38 0
ODI 0 4 2 49 462 1231 164 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 362 1934 1444 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 249 3271 5008
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76500 13352 207 1656 1436 169 43 0
OW 29 88 8 168 491 260 45 0
VODI 0 31 6 156 432 634 183 0
ODI 0 14 5 65 289 869 321 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 413 1585 1086 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 243 3245 5008


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 09:59:11 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy