Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-05-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74404 15170 186 1125 566 79 3 0
OW 58 528 78 749 772 136 18 0
VODI 0 342 53 618 1483 282 142 0
ODI 0 117 22 489 1273 575 346 68
CDI 0 63 16 375 2070 2317 1154 178
VCDI 0 11 8 218 2034 8186 31914 38822
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74751 15235 206 1242 756 112 8 0
OW 53 687 67 739 730 153 69 0
VODI 0 480 53 548 1379 324 219 0
ODI 0 155 31 509 1136 700 477 8
CDI 0 82 23 446 2204 3087 1760 29
VCDI 0 15 3 258 1777 7220 34405 34912
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74797 16220 263 1599 636 55 1 0
OW 51 520 78 984 692 82 14 0
VODI 0 184 21 664 1846 284 31 0
ODI 0 79 12 255 1691 917 112 0
CDI 0 36 11 389 2426 4877 1649 0
VCDI 0 0 0 91 1376 8474 31370 34261
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76848 14851 260 1741 659 40 0 0
OW 50 426 66 1073 825 134 13 0
VODI 0 167 31 611 1824 463 47 1
ODI 0 63 15 289 1318 1036 203 2
CDI 0 52 11 395 2967 4640 2242 3
VCDI 0 2 4 62 893 8693 38910 25118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76848 15061 278 1983 769 54 4 0
OW 50 286 52 856 776 136 7 0
VODI 0 114 28 616 1690 493 43 0
ODI 0 47 15 268 1446 1021 210 3
CDI 0 40 9 383 2910 4653 2216 3
VCDI 0 13 5 65 895 8649 38935 25118

Date: 2020-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76220 15932 310 2159 670 37 0 0
OW 50 440 61 907 977 153 34 0
VODI 0 189 25 526 1717 582 64 0
ODI 0 112 18 335 1117 1395 385 3
CDI 0 62 18 449 2571 5249 2339 20
VCDI 0 0 0 79 763 10447 38513 22120
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76220 16141 328 2465 791 76 13 0
OW 50 292 45 650 928 149 17 0
VODI 0 151 28 505 1636 578 57 0
ODI 0 77 15 333 1205 1418 311 1
CDI 0 70 10 413 2383 5223 2389 19
VCDI 0 4 6 89 872 10419 38548 22123

Date: 2020-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76500 16229 298 1775 660 19 0 0
OW 50 375 93 1177 441 30 2 0
VODI 0 112 22 935 1779 178 59 0
ODI 0 30 9 313 2831 1149 109 0
CDI 0 3 2 160 2136 7538 1858 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 284 11595 36596 21682
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76515 16020 311 2389 1117 110 33 0
OW 35 324 53 560 1081 297 47 0
VODI 0 245 31 554 1375 792 99 0
ODI 0 105 14 365 1582 1580 474 0
CDI 0 48 13 420 2181 5589 4087 11
VCDI 0 7 2 91 795 12141 33884 21671

Date: 2020-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76996 16424 368 2370 638 28 0 0
OW 35 197 55 1301 817 80 16 0
VODI 0 83 9 561 2192 398 105 0
ODI 0 28 7 235 2252 1576 220 0
CDI 0 25 5 176 2194 7230 3482 1
VCDI 0 5 6 41 458 9856 30328 26250
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77000 16045 326 2618 1281 157 62 0
OW 31 311 55 625 1040 310 76 0
VODI 0 238 30 604 1419 1011 236 0
ODI 0 91 20 350 1540 2171 611 0
CDI 0 47 11 390 2358 5686 5138 10
VCDI 0 30 8 97 913 9833 28028 26241

Date: 2020-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76501 17213 397 2592 1001 82 1 0
OW 30 227 36 1049 1264 129 14 0
VODI 0 98 24 462 2476 632 79 0
ODI 0 33 10 254 1660 2599 306 0
CDI 0 36 4 179 1987 6936 4667 3
VCDI 0 12 3 41 461 7851 25986 29713
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76502 16846 370 2660 1882 290 61 0
OW 29 319 35 579 1121 452 102 0
VODI 0 265 31 566 1497 1235 356 0
ODI 0 98 25 298 1299 2123 872 1
CDI 0 49 8 377 2235 6604 5620 32
VCDI 0 42 5 97 815 7525 24042 29683


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