Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-05-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 258 7 51 3 0 0 0
OW 0 151 24 82 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 8 198 113 7 0 0
ODI 0 26 7 80 296 33 15 0
CDI 0 6 3 57 244 380 115 0
VCDI 0 2 1 48 262 2162 12576 14806
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 344 5 28 10 0 0 0
OW 0 137 17 58 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 3 174 117 17 0 0
ODI 0 5 6 90 282 142 26 0
CDI 0 8 5 72 385 541 133 8
VCDI 0 3 3 53 577 4765 11348 12685
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 546 21 58 6 0 0 0
OW 0 46 13 197 33 1 0 0
VODI 0 9 8 153 327 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 456 135 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 550 1203 93 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 664 4133 11160 12108
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 735 19 71 12 0 0 0
OW 0 184 7 264 108 4 0 0
VODI 0 70 13 156 398 42 0 0
ODI 0 27 4 106 276 131 24 0
CDI 0 21 3 114 504 751 293 9
VCDI 0 13 3 103 859 3722 11047 11989
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 791 22 137 24 1 0 0
OW 0 122 5 219 132 6 0 0
VODI 0 74 10 137 327 38 0 0
ODI 0 32 6 97 298 119 31 0
CDI 0 21 4 125 511 810 344 12
VCDI 0 10 2 99 865 3676 10989 11986

Date: 2020-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 998 26 127 8 0 0 0
OW 0 205 18 368 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 12 152 272 35 8 0
ODI 0 37 10 136 246 130 24 0
CDI 0 28 2 153 493 877 380 20
VCDI 0 13 4 130 824 3425 10631 12112
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 1015 27 223 12 0 0 0
OW 0 177 14 265 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 13 161 220 38 8 0
ODI 0 42 11 123 273 120 37 0
CDI 0 35 3 162 461 897 389 21
VCDI 0 10 4 132 854 3412 10609 12111

Date: 2020-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9 1300 35 185 9 0 0 0
OW 0 203 30 247 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 14 326 256 38 7 0
ODI 0 19 3 118 551 134 10 0
CDI 0 13 5 181 699 1610 190 8
VCDI 0 0 0 65 613 2848 10150 12136
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9 1178 39 301 16 0 0 0
OW 0 151 12 152 82 2 2 0
VODI 0 113 17 132 218 33 10 0
ODI 0 60 10 138 330 161 44 4
CDI 0 49 6 193 648 1274 530 6
VCDI 0 12 3 206 876 3160 9771 12134

Date: 2020-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22 1514 58 262 38 0 0 0
OW 0 71 19 306 110 6 0 0
VODI 0 20 6 150 369 23 4 0
ODI 0 24 2 109 347 232 40 0
CDI 0 39 7 196 995 1209 532 0
VCDI 0 4 1 64 558 3410 12666 8669
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22 1263 45 306 47 0 0 0
OW 0 126 15 117 83 9 0 0
VODI 0 117 8 106 251 31 10 0
ODI 0 65 8 101 363 180 73 0
CDI 0 55 10 282 829 1213 934 0
VCDI 0 46 7 175 844 3447 12225 8669

Date: 2020-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 1924 66 168 20 0 0 0
OW 0 87 11 234 89 1 0 0
VODI 0 44 7 118 371 12 4 0
ODI 0 43 7 106 337 271 18 0
CDI 0 43 9 178 990 1336 532 4
VCDI 0 0 0 28 554 3653 14858 5955
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 1681 55 221 39 0 0 0
OW 0 159 7 77 86 2 4 0
VODI 0 130 12 94 275 33 7 1
ODI 0 59 8 100 294 213 63 11
CDI 0 44 11 202 826 1259 858 2
VCDI 0 68 7 138 841 3766 14480 5945


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