Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-05-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 7 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 87 19 191 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 91 271 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 394 262 11 7
CDI 0 0 0 26 246 961 391 25
VCDI 0 0 0 14 95 2799 13109 12802
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 123 11 65 17 0 0 0
OW 0 72 12 142 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 58 240 65 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 254 369 24 6
CDI 0 0 0 21 143 951 734 11
VCDI 0 0 0 9 70 1796 12547 14251
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 185 12 74 0 0 0 0
OW 0 67 15 84 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 119 183 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 349 107 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 187 816 98 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 68 1763 11092 16773
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 237 8 55 1 0 0 0
OW 0 121 20 105 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 6 173 135 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 56 328 54 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 210 493 168 2
VCDI 0 0 0 17 154 1925 11980 15769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 294 8 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 20 147 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 7 137 147 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 285 31 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 251 441 152 3
VCDI 0 0 0 11 137 2004 11987 15768

Date: 2020-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 308 4 35 8 0 0 0
OW 0 153 23 49 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 10 204 79 8 0 0
ODI 0 14 6 99 270 69 21 0
CDI 0 9 4 60 448 405 85 14
VCDI 0 6 4 49 420 3843 11611 13726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 409 10 43 4 0 0 0
OW 0 56 16 71 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 11 184 89 24 0 0
ODI 0 13 7 120 228 43 28 0
CDI 0 10 6 38 477 373 87 26
VCDI 0 2 1 40 414 3885 11602 13714

Date: 2020-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 473 12 34 7 0 0 0
OW 0 67 18 127 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 11 201 239 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 43 487 166 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 408 1157 126 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 496 4344 11208 12363
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 498 9 59 7 0 0 0
OW 0 41 22 80 36 2 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 152 173 41 4 0
ODI 0 9 8 63 332 113 5 0
CDI 0 1 3 78 466 775 132 22
VCDI 0 0 0 17 635 4753 11202 12341

Date: 2020-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 641 19 61 6 0 0 0
OW 0 69 18 268 52 3 0 0
VODI 0 34 8 203 387 41 0 0
ODI 0 11 5 80 344 110 11 0
CDI 0 12 2 75 609 846 181 0
VCDI 0 0 1 53 901 4282 10826 11923
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 624 22 95 38 2 0 0
OW 0 44 8 155 86 8 0 0
VODI 0 30 9 197 217 39 0 0
ODI 0 51 10 113 364 86 35 0
CDI 0 18 4 131 657 576 286 22
VCDI 0 0 0 49 937 4571 10697 11901

Date: 2020-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 905 20 95 8 0 0 0
OW 0 154 25 333 126 3 0 0
VODI 0 84 9 165 316 35 3 0
ODI 0 29 5 124 272 115 25 0
CDI 0 23 3 142 532 722 349 18
VCDI 0 11 2 119 823 3582 10773 12127
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 780 20 152 58 1 0 0
OW 0 129 12 146 46 1 0 0
VODI 0 140 14 234 170 30 10 0
ODI 0 95 7 145 308 91 55 6
CDI 0 56 9 169 605 659 482 33
VCDI 0 6 2 132 890 3675 10603 12106


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