Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-05-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 21 9 0 0 0
OW 0 40 6 62 34 0 2 0
VODI 0 6 6 56 56 43 23 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 147 271 69 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 132 725 579 83
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 2003 11722 29686
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 54 8 0 0 0
OW 0 39 13 59 45 4 8 0
VODI 0 119 12 25 58 43 40 0
ODI 0 10 9 52 87 171 110 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 154 447 381 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 321 1620 9291 32626
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 44 2 31 4 0 0 0
OW 0 60 16 125 44 0 3 0
VODI 0 5 1 66 65 22 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 163 93 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 143 526 310 66
VCDI 0 0 0 0 205 1651 9973 32196
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 5 30 1 0 0 0
OW 0 96 24 102 62 2 5 0
VODI 0 5 2 80 57 58 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 153 101 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 247 640 366 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 262 2303 9572 31594
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 13 53 8 0 0 0
OW 0 56 13 67 52 6 5 0
VODI 0 5 5 89 61 52 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 175 132 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 229 557 353 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 257 2357 9583 31592

Date: 2020-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 4 77 11 0 4 0
OW 0 114 15 60 125 15 9 0
VODI 0 9 2 67 204 61 27 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 254 159 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 476 579 373 40
VCDI 0 0 0 12 613 3136 10737 28514
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 8 105 35 0 1 0
OW 0 45 12 33 127 24 12 0
VODI 0 4 1 66 196 56 27 0
ODI 0 0 0 53 246 172 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 464 545 353 38
VCDI 0 0 0 12 615 3153 10750 28516

Date: 2020-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 144 8 38 5 1 8 0
OW 0 81 13 139 105 4 16 0
VODI 0 10 4 212 383 52 6 0
ODI 0 5 2 60 590 218 15 0
CDI 0 2 1 18 730 732 246 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 515 2376 11390 27725
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 161 8 174 115 10 17 0
OW 0 56 7 94 165 22 16 0
VODI 0 16 10 84 256 95 30 0
ODI 0 7 1 76 327 233 126 0
CDI 0 2 2 32 698 565 375 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 767 2458 11117 27725

Date: 2020-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 176 11 57 68 2 16 0
OW 0 27 14 101 253 17 12 0
VODI 0 24 6 117 436 89 30 0
ODI 0 10 6 66 481 285 108 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 711 818 403 89
VCDI 0 0 0 43 672 2804 12015 25820
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 142 8 113 326 33 45 0
OW 0 55 8 44 202 36 43 0
VODI 0 17 12 74 290 128 81 0
ODI 0 16 6 45 368 255 118 0
CDI 0 7 3 126 821 770 389 13
VCDI 0 0 0 61 614 2793 11908 25896

Date: 2020-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 172 13 46 136 32 1 0
OW 0 53 17 130 282 33 4 0
VODI 0 57 12 154 501 109 32 0
ODI 0 18 4 122 422 238 187 68
CDI 0 3 3 128 702 757 324 160
VCDI 0 0 0 35 791 2890 14732 22498
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 169 15 90 407 73 32 0
OW 0 26 14 73 193 43 22 0
VODI 0 44 7 117 343 79 57 0
ODI 0 30 6 103 426 228 115 2
CDI 0 34 5 154 770 770 372 51
VCDI 0 0 2 78 695 2866 14682 22673


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