Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69680 15289 261 1923 726 5 0 0
OW 63 159 45 342 544 49 3 0
VODI 0 4 14 243 617 155 17 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 457 374 52 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 667 1364 231 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 606 3502 6029 5487
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70107 15273 240 1932 678 14 0 0
OW 67 142 24 288 547 77 2 0
VODI 0 29 30 208 514 222 19 0
ODI 0 13 4 130 448 295 88 0
CDI 0 10 3 67 851 1241 258 0
VCDI 0 10 5 46 699 2862 5744 5913
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69903 15320 253 1944 620 24 0 0
OW 65 75 43 391 515 46 0 0
VODI 0 23 5 191 788 157 3 0
ODI 0 8 2 35 830 554 25 0
CDI 0 5 1 12 712 1671 315 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 131 2541 6375 5488
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70309 15155 228 2050 624 10 0 0
OW 63 40 21 352 611 70 0 0
VODI 0 25 7 180 710 341 9 0
ODI 0 11 2 47 818 456 54 0
CDI 0 9 4 29 831 1535 477 0
VCDI 0 8 3 30 187 3651 7192 2951
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70308 15146 230 2109 688 19 0 0
OW 64 48 18 290 551 73 0 0
VODI 0 27 8 183 712 369 7 0
ODI 0 10 2 47 798 372 54 0
CDI 0 7 3 28 790 1553 404 0
VCDI 0 10 4 31 242 3677 7267 2951

Date: 2020-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70531 15162 247 1852 967 10 0 0
OW 63 21 20 212 686 163 0 0
VODI 0 9 3 99 604 485 20 0
ODI 0 18 4 30 555 692 52 0
CDI 0 12 4 25 445 1858 477 0
VCDI 0 8 2 37 149 2118 5070 6390
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70531 15143 246 1889 1062 27 0 0
OW 63 37 20 167 577 166 0 0
VODI 0 16 5 98 614 476 18 0
ODI 0 14 4 41 512 634 51 0
CDI 0 8 2 21 450 1858 444 0
VCDI 0 12 3 39 191 2165 5106 6390

Date: 2020-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71070 14997 233 1674 374 0 0 0
OW 65 56 44 452 392 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 219 822 57 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 1340 377 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 504 2229 209 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 2117 6497 5249
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71072 14989 256 2004 790 9 2 0
OW 63 59 13 188 627 103 3 0
VODI 0 5 9 90 742 295 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 613 398 57 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 566 1535 332 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 131 2442 6328 5249

Date: 2020-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71482 15180 242 1476 296 2 0 0
OW 64 57 29 470 417 7 2 0
VODI 0 13 7 262 858 100 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 1028 517 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 683 1593 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 149 2551 5294 5949
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71483 15177 251 1706 771 23 14 0
OW 63 50 13 241 522 121 18 0
VODI 0 6 8 183 720 292 18 0
ODI 0 10 1 84 463 391 57 0
CDI 0 7 3 47 643 1597 398 0
VCDI 0 0 2 31 312 2346 5079 5949

Date: 2020-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72137 15117 233 1222 310 4 0 0
OW 63 76 34 424 437 14 0 0
VODI 0 27 15 246 803 225 20 0
ODI 0 4 6 104 712 513 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 611 1259 241 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 318 2487 5390 5974
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72138 14992 222 1344 696 93 5 0
OW 62 136 24 255 436 232 9 0
VODI 0 56 20 183 601 271 32 0
ODI 0 14 10 128 366 349 46 0
CDI 0 12 5 73 738 1385 623 0
VCDI 0 14 7 47 354 2172 4976 5974


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