Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 95 17 81 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 5 131 256 34 0 0
ODI 0 40 1 118 309 132 19 8
CDI 0 18 9 69 301 658 204 15
VCDI 0 6 1 36 268 2728 9735 16593
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 108 2 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 182 18 108 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 22 149 250 52 0 0
ODI 0 43 8 99 273 241 40 0
CDI 0 36 7 60 218 812 278 14
VCDI 0 19 5 56 303 2733 10638 15187
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 168 3 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 74 12 162 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 4 180 269 35 3 0
ODI 0 14 4 44 360 213 35 0
CDI 0 5 2 28 243 990 348 4
VCDI 0 1 0 39 183 2059 11184 15292
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 7 26 3 0 0 0
OW 0 106 14 180 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 6 138 232 26 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 52 350 257 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 246 901 343 9
VCDI 0 0 0 14 138 3252 13395 12106
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 4 11 3 0 0 0
OW 0 103 16 144 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 7 196 204 25 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 43 356 191 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 275 989 435 9
VCDI 0 0 0 14 134 3231 13297 12106

Date: 2020-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 11 54 8 0 0 0
OW 0 79 15 174 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 75 283 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 353 267 5 5
CDI 0 0 0 26 213 973 545 8
VCDI 0 0 0 18 109 2584 11758 14282
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 124 7 63 40 0 0 0
OW 0 62 13 117 50 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 6 125 246 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 364 191 12 3
CDI 0 0 0 28 210 1040 468 10
VCDI 0 0 0 17 130 2594 11828 14282

Date: 2020-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 140 13 45 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 11 144 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 93 169 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 350 192 11 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 125 1039 141 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1383 12897 15209
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 151 14 114 46 0 0 0
OW 0 49 10 96 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 65 203 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 202 297 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 148 969 597 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 1309 12426 15208

Date: 2020-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 223 11 64 1 0 0 0
OW 0 61 18 104 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 157 148 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 337 63 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 223 580 132 5
VCDI 0 0 0 2 97 2293 11039 16436
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 222 11 121 57 0 0 0
OW 0 60 12 63 73 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 6 111 153 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 229 125 3 1
CDI 0 0 0 25 210 686 195 16
VCDI 0 0 0 4 116 2115 10974 16424

Date: 2020-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 258 7 51 3 0 0 0
OW 0 151 24 82 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 8 198 113 7 0 0
ODI 0 26 7 80 296 33 15 0
CDI 0 6 3 57 244 380 115 0
VCDI 0 2 1 48 262 2162 12576 14806
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 316 14 112 25 0 0 0
OW 0 101 13 79 43 5 0 0
VODI 0 19 11 159 120 1 0 1
ODI 0 28 2 46 227 40 43 26
CDI 0 24 7 49 217 394 202 37
VCDI 0 7 3 71 295 2142 12461 14742


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