Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-04-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69680 15401 266 1925 726 5 0 0
OW 63 254 62 423 590 49 3 0
VODI 0 34 19 389 927 194 17 0
ODI 0 40 1 269 824 539 80 8
CDI 0 18 9 181 1042 2211 544 31
VCDI 0 6 1 71 1081 7676 24854 56535
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70107 15381 242 1935 678 14 0 0
OW 67 324 42 399 632 78 2 0
VODI 0 110 56 390 817 301 22 0
ODI 0 72 12 251 754 601 144 0
CDI 0 60 12 154 1144 2283 698 59
VCDI 0 30 12 135 1284 7269 27049 53428
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69903 15488 256 1985 621 24 0 0
OW 65 152 55 576 637 46 0 0
VODI 0 78 18 429 1121 234 28 0
ODI 0 22 6 115 1249 926 165 3
CDI 0 10 3 60 1134 3138 980 9
VCDI 0 1 0 68 427 6250 27274 53492
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70309 15260 235 2076 646 10 0 0
OW 63 185 39 571 744 72 1 0
VODI 0 42 19 362 996 418 31 0
ODI 0 15 6 133 1277 912 178 6
CDI 0 9 4 74 1252 2997 1385 131
VCDI 0 8 3 44 368 9158 31757 45252
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70308 15255 234 2127 717 19 0 0
OW 64 186 38 466 671 76 1 0
VODI 0 47 21 424 973 442 34 0
ODI 0 14 6 124 1251 754 165 0
CDI 0 7 3 74 1248 3125 1409 95
VCDI 0 10 4 45 423 9151 31743 45294

Date: 2020-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70531 15275 258 1950 979 10 0 0
OW 63 165 41 450 801 163 5 0
VODI 0 44 9 217 965 545 50 0
ODI 0 20 4 121 1009 1187 124 5
CDI 0 12 4 63 766 3422 1523 70
VCDI 0 8 2 55 364 6841 27654 51273
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70531 15269 254 2015 1109 27 0 0
OW 63 160 37 336 657 167 8 0
VODI 0 59 18 262 943 523 51 0
ODI 0 16 4 127 991 1078 141 3
CDI 0 8 2 60 763 3449 1344 20
VCDI 0 12 3 56 421 6924 27812 51325

Date: 2020-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71070 15168 247 1744 377 0 0 0
OW 65 213 78 690 431 2 0 0
VODI 0 20 11 403 1040 76 11 0
ODI 0 1 1 66 1881 635 68 1
CDI 0 0 0 8 813 3718 652 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 298 5025 29599 52624
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71072 15165 271 2149 858 9 4 0
OW 63 128 27 343 705 110 11 0
VODI 0 105 34 209 1002 386 66 0
ODI 0 4 5 134 914 816 230 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 922 2868 1279 21
VCDI 0 0 0 23 439 5267 28740 52616

Date: 2020-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71482 15437 256 1575 300 2 0 0
OW 64 173 60 707 505 10 5 0
VODI 0 16 9 506 1051 137 28 0
ODI 0 0 0 122 1557 676 83 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 1094 2666 660 19
VCDI 0 0 0 2 509 7068 26074 54163
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71483 15417 264 1844 842 23 21 0
OW 63 128 27 337 628 139 33 0
VODI 0 62 25 400 934 363 121 0
ODI 0 12 4 228 838 627 184 3
CDI 0 7 3 100 1050 2799 852 97
VCDI 0 0 2 35 724 6608 25639 54082

Date: 2020-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72137 15381 242 1332 319 4 0 0
OW 63 339 74 606 532 16 7 0
VODI 0 92 26 498 1015 310 34 0
ODI 0 30 13 211 1183 671 87 0
CDI 0 6 3 91 1195 2276 691 62
VCDI 0 2 1 50 911 7613 28682 50243
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72138 15308 236 1480 766 93 21 0
OW 62 237 37 362 538 258 63 0
VODI 0 155 41 425 785 391 145 1
ODI 0 87 21 243 777 672 199 26
CDI 0 42 14 157 1206 2379 1116 44
VCDI 0 21 10 121 1083 7097 27957 50234


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